The Portland Trail Blazers (19-27) challenge the Indiana Pacers (30-16) at Moda Center at the Rose Quarter. The game can be seen on NBATV at 9 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 26, 2020.
Indiana Pacers vs. Portland Trail Blazers ATS Prediction
In the Pacers’ last outing, they covered the 6.5-point spread against the Golden State Warriors, 129-118. The total points for the game (247) finished well over the projected point total of 215. Indiana’s 9.7 turnover percentage was their largest strength over Golden State, who had a rate of 17.8. The Pacers’ mark was better than their season average of 11.3, while the Warriors’ was above their season average of 12.3. Indiana was lifted by T.J. Warren, who led the team in scoring with 33 points on 14-for-23 shooting.
The Trail Blazers were beaten by the Dallas Mavericks in their last outing, 133-125. They failed to cover as 7-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (258) came in well over the projected point total of 232.5. Dallas’ 7.2 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Portland, who had a rate of 10.9. The Mavericks’ mark was better than their season average of 10.9. With 47 points on 16-for-28 shooting, Damian Lillard was the top scorer from either team.
After the Trail Blazers won both games against the Pacers last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent matchup, Portland won 106-98. Portland’s effective field goal percentage was its largest strength over Indiana. The Trail Blazers had a rate of 0.551 while the Pacers posted a mark of 0.482.
Indiana heads into the game with records of 30-16 straight up (SU) and 25-19-2 against the spread (ATS). There does not appear to be a trend for games featuring the Pacers in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Meanwhile, Portland owns records of 19-27 SU and 16-28-2 ATS. Just over half of Trail Blazers games have finished over the total.
There’s a decent chance that Indiana struggles to create turnovers. Portland ranks second in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.2 percent), while Indiana forces the 17th-most turnovers (13.5 percent).
Indiana Pacers vs. Portland Trail Blazers ATS Pick
Prediction: ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Over
Indiana is 14-10 ATS on the road with 12 overs and 12 unders.
Portland is 6-14-1 ATS at home with 13 overs and 8 unders.
Indiana is 9-1 when they allow below 100 points, while Portland is 4-0.
The Trail Blazers are 19-21 when they score over 100 points, while the Pacers are 30-9.
Indiana ranks fifth in assists per game (26.1) while Portland ranks last (19.7).
The Pacers rank 12th in points in the paint per game (48.5) while the Trail Blazers rank 29th (43.5).
Indiana ranks 13th in rebounds allowed per game (44.7) while Portland ranks last (48.3).
The Trail Blazers rank 14th in three pointers attempted per game (33.9) while the Pacers rank last (27.4).
Indiana ranks 18th in points off turnovers per game (16.6) while Portland ranks 29th (13.9).
The Pacers rank 20th in second chance points allowed per game (13.6) while the Trail Blazers rank last (15.6).
Portland ranks second in blocks per game (6.4) while Indiana ranks 11th (5.2).
The Pacers rank 23rd in steals per game (7.1) while the Trail Blazers rank last (5.8).
Indiana ranks 16th in fast break points per game (12.6) while Portland ranks 19th in fast break points allowed per game (13.5).
In its last five games, Indiana is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Portland is 1-4 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over its last five games.
The Pacers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.2, up from 3.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 117.8 points per game (5.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 120.6 points per game (6.1 above their season average).