The Golden State Warriors (10-36) meet the Indiana Pacers (29-16) at the Chase Center. The game can be seen on NBATV at 10:30 p.m. ET on Friday, January 24, 2020.
Indiana Pacers vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Prediction
The Pacers come in on a high note after easily covering the 1.5-point spread against the Phoenix Suns in their last matchup, 112-87. The combined points for the game (199) came in well under the projected point total of 221.5. Indiana was 9-20 on three pointers (45.0 percent), while Phoenix was just 4-20 (20.0 percent). Domantas Sabonis fueled Indiana with 24 points and 13 rebounds.
The last time the Warriors were in action, they got blown out by the Utah Jazz, 129-96. They failed to cover as 9-point underdogs. The total points for the game (225) finished over the projected point total of 220.5. Utah’s offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over Golden State. The Jazz had a rate of 36.6 (above their season average of 20.8), while the Warriors posted a mark of 21.2. Golden State’s D’Angelo Russell had a solid game, leading both teams in scoring with 26 points on 10-for-21 shooting.
After the Warriors won both meetings against the Pacers last season, these teams will meet for the first time this year. In the last matchup, Golden State won 112-89. Golden State had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.567 vs. 0.418). Indiana, on the other hand, did a great job of making free throws (13-17; 76.5 percent).
Indiana holds records of 29-16 straight up (SU) and 24-19-2 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the total of Pacers games, with 23 unders compared to 22 overs.
Meanwhile, Golden State owns records of 10-36 SU and 21-24-1 ATS. Of the Warriors’ 46 games, 26 have finished under the O/U total.
The offense of Golden State will battle against the elite defense of Indiana. The Warriors currently rank 29th in offensive efficiency, while the Pacers are ninth in defensive efficiency. The Pacers figure to have the edge on that side of the ball. Furthermore, the Pacers rank fifth in turnover percentage (12.3 percent), while the Warriors rank fifth in opponents’ turnover percentage (14.5 percent).
Indiana Pacers vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Pick
NBA Tip: ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under
Indiana is 13-10 ATS on the road with 12 unders and 11 overs.
Golden State is 10-12-1 ATS at home with 14 unders and 9 overs.
In games where they allow below 100 points, Indiana is 9-1 and Golden State is 5-2.
The Warriors are 10-22 when they reach the century mark, while the Pacers are 29-9.
Indiana ranks fifth in assists allowed per game (22.9) while Golden State ranks 25th (25.3).
The Pacers rank first in steals allowed per game (6.5) while the Warriors rank 20th (8.1).
Indiana ranks eighth in three pointers allowed per game (32.2) while Golden State ranks 26th (35.3).
The Pacers rank 11th in points in the paint per game (48.4) while the Warriors rank 29th (43.0).
Indiana ranks 13th in rebounds allowed per game (44.9) while Golden State ranks 28th (47.5).
The Pacers average 5.2 blocks per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. The Warriors rank 22nd in blocks allowed per game (5.4).
Golden State ranks 19th in second chance points per game (12.6) while Indiana ranks 26th (11.8).
The Pacers rank 17th in fast break points per game (12.4) while the Warriors rank 24th in fast break points allowed per game (14.7).
Over its last five contests, Indiana is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Golden State is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Pacers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.0, down from 3.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 111.4 points per game (6.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 122.2 points per game (8.3 above their season average).