The Brooklyn Nets (5-7) meet the Indiana Pacers (7-6) at the Barclays Center. The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, November 18, 2019, and will air on YES Network.
Indiana Pacers vs. Brooklyn Nets Betting Prediction
The Pacers are hoping for a better outcome after failing to cover as 7.5-point underdogs in their 102-83 loss to the Milwaukee Bucks in their last matchup. The combined points for the game (185) finished well under the O/U total of 220.5. Milwaukee’s 0.505 effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Indiana, who had a rate of 0.380. The Bucks’ mark was below their season average of 0.549, while the Pacers’ was below their season average of 0.518. Myles Turner led Indiana in scoring with 16 points on 6-for-14 shooting.
In the Nets’ last outing, they defeated the Chicago Bulls, 117-111, despite being 3.5-point underdogs. The game’s total points (228) were over the projected point total of 224.5. Brooklyn’s effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Chicago. The Nets had a rate of 0.511 (below their season average of 0.528), while the Bulls posted a mark of 0.401 (below their season average of 0.498). With 22 points and eight assists, Brooklyn’s Joe Harris put together a good game.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, the Nets lost 118-108, unable to cover as 2.5-point favorites. Kyrie Irving put up 28 points, seven rebounds and six assists. The game finished with a total of 226 points, which was just 4.5 points above the projected point total of 221.5 points. The Pacers had a much better turnover percentage (7.9 vs. 15.4) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.526 vs. 0.495).
Indiana comes into the contest with records of 7-6 straight up (SU) and 5-6-2 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has a tendency to place the total high when the Pacers are involved, as eight of their 13 contests have ended under the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Brooklyn is 5-7 SU and 5-6-1 ATS. Contrary to Indiana, Nets games have a tendency to finish over the projected point total (58.3 percent).
It will be a matchup of conflicting paces as the fast-breaking Nets (ranked second in the NBA in possessions per game) will look to push the more half-court-oriented Pacers (25th in possessions per game). Ball security should be an advantage for the Pacers. They rank 5th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 13.0 percent), while the Nets force the first-fewest turnovers in the league (opponents’ turnover percentage of 11.7 percent).
Indiana Pacers vs. Brooklyn Nets Betting Pick
NBA Prediction: ATS Winner – Pacers
Indiana is 2-4 ATS on the road with 3 overs and 3 unders.
Brooklyn is 2-3 ATS at home with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Indiana is 3-1 when they hold opponents under 100 points.
The Nets are 5-6 when they score more than 100 points, while the Pacers are 7-3.
Brooklyn ranks sixth in three pointers attempted per game (36.8) while Indiana ranks 28th (25.7).
The Pacers rank fourth in steals allowed per game (6.6) while the Nets rank 25th (9.0).
Indiana ranks fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.9) while Brooklyn ranks 21st (19.7).
The Nets rank third in rebounds per game (48.1) while the Pacers rank 15th (45.3).
Indiana averages 50.3 points in the paint per game, which ranks ninth in the league. Brooklyn ranks 16th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.2).
The Pacers rank fourth in fast break points allowed per game (11.5) while the Nets rank ninth (12.4).
Indiana ranks 12th in blocks per game (5.3) while Brooklyn ranks 14th in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
The Pacers average 13.5 second chance points per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. The Nets rank 13th in second chance points allowed per game (13.1).
In its last five outings, Indiana is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Brooklyn is 3-1-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Pacers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.2, down from 2.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 111.0 points per game (5.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 116.8 points per game (2.0 below their season average).