Offense meets defense when the Houston Rockets (13-7) head to Toronto to take on the Raptors (15-5). The game will air on NBATV at 7:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, December 5, 2019.
Toronto opened as a 1.5-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 230 points.
Houston Rockets at Toronto Raptors Betting Prediction
The last time the Rockets played, they were 7-point favorites and were defeated by the San Antonio Spurs, 135-133. The combined points for the game (268) finished well over the projected point total of 233.5. San Antonio made 13 of their 30 three pointers (43.3 percent). Houston, meanwhile, was 15-51 (29.4 percent). James Harden was the top scorer from either team with 50 points on 11-for-38 shooting.
The Raptors were beaten by the Miami Heat in their last game, 121-110, despite being 5.5-point favorites. The game’s total points (231) came in well over the projected point total of 212. Miami’s 20.4 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over Toronto, who had a mark of 16.7. The Heat’s mark was below their season average of 22.5. With 12 points, 11 assists and six rebounds, Toronto’s Kyle Lowry had a good performance.
After the Rockets won both contests against the Raptors last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last contest, Houston won 107-95. The Rockets made 16 of their 18 free throws (88.9 percent) and had a better turnover percentage (8.8 vs. 11.9).
Houston holds records of 13-7 straight up (SU) and 11-9 against the spread (ATS). Of the Rockets’ 20 games, 11 have gone under the total.
Meanwhile, Toronto is 15-5 SU and 13-7 ATS. Unlike Houston, Raptors games have typically finished over the projected point total (60.0 percent).
It might turn into a shootout as two of the NBA’s top offenses clash. Toronto currently ranks fifth with 109.8 points per 100 possessions and Houston is third (111.8). Moreover, the Rockets rank fourth in offensive rebounding percentage (24.0 percent), while the Raptors rank 29th in defensive rebounding percentage (74.1 percent).
Houston Rockets at Toronto Raptors Betting Pick
Free NBA Pick: ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Over
On the road, Houston is 5-5 ATS with 7 unders and 3 overs.
At home, Toronto is 8-2 ATS with 8 overs and 2 unders.
Toronto is 7-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Houston is 2-0.
The Raptors are 14-4 when they score more than 100 points, while the Rockets are 13-6.
Houston ranks first in three pointers attempted per game (46.0) while Toronto ranks 28th in three pointers allowed per game (37.9).
The Raptors rank first in fast break points per game (19.4) while the Rockets rank 28th in fast break points allowed per game (16.7).
Houston ranks fourth in second chance points per game (15.2) while Toronto ranks 28th (11.1).
The Rockets average 48.0 rebounds per game, which ranks fourth in the league. The Raptors rank 28th in rebounds allowed per game (48.9).
Toronto ranks third in points allowed in the paint per game (42.0) while Houston ranks 26th (51.6).
The Raptors rank seventh in assists per game (25.8) while the Rockets rank 28th in assists allowed per game (26.1).
Toronto averages 19.6 points off turnovers per game, which ranks third in the NBA. Houston ranks 22nd in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.7).
The Raptors rank third in steals allowed per game (6.7) while the Rockets rank 21st (8.3).
Houston ranks 19th in blocks per game (4.8) while Toronto ranks 23rd in blocks allowed per game (6.1).
In its last five outings, Houston is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Toronto is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Rockets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.4, up from 5.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 111.4 points per game (1.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 101.6 points per game (3.4 below their season average).