The Golden State Warriors (12-43) meet the Houston Rockets (34-20) at the Chase Center. The game is scheduled to get underway at 10:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 20, 2020.
Houston opened as a 10-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 232.5 points at Draftkings Illinois Sportsbook.
Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors ATS Prediction
The last time the Rockets played, they comfortably covered the 2-point spread against the Boston Celtics, 116-105. The game’s combined points (221) were under the O/U total of 232. The Rockets knocked down 37 of their 42 free throws (88.1 percent), while the Celtics had a turnover percentage of 15.8 (above their season average of 11.7). Houston received a boost from Russell Westbrook, who finished with 36 points, 10 rebounds and five assists.
The Warriors were beaten by the Phoenix Suns in their last matchup, 112-106, but were able to cover as 6.5-point underdogs. The game’s total points (218) came in under the projected point total of 227. Phoenix’s offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over Golden State. The Suns had a rate of 19.0 (below their season average of 21.8), while the Warriors posted a mark of 11.1 (below their season average of 21.6). With 27 points on 9-for-14 shooting, Andrew Wiggins was Golden State’s high scorer.
Both teams have won a game in the season series. The Warriors won the most recent matchup 116-104, covering as 11-point underdogs. The game finished with a total of 220 points, which was 10 points below the projected point total of 230 points. Golden State did an excellent job of getting and making free throws (25-28; 89.3 percent). Houston, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (10.1 vs. 13.9). Damion Lee put up a double-double in the victory with 22 points and 15 rebounds.
Houston heads into the game with records of 34-20 straight up (SU) and 27-27 against the spread (ATS). Of the Rockets’ 54 games, 31 have finished under the total.
Meanwhile, Golden State owns records of 12-43 SU and 26-28-1 ATS. Warriors games also have finished under the O/U total 54.5 percent of the time.
The high-powered offense of Houston will square off against the bottom-tier defense of Golden State. The Rockets currently rank fourth in offensive efficiency, while the Warriors are 25th in defensive efficiency. The Rockets should have the edge on that side of the ball.
Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors Odds Pick
NBA Pick: ATS Winner – Rockets, O/U – Under
Houston is 13-14 ATS on the road with 17 unders and 10 overs.
Golden State is 11-14-1 ATS at home with 15 unders and 11 overs.
When allowing below 100 points, Houston is 3-0 and Golden State is 5-2.
In games where they reach 100 points, the Warriors are 12-28 and the Rockets are 34-17.
Houston ranks first in three pointers attempted per game (43.9) while Golden State ranks 24th (30.7).
The Rockets average 8.2 steals per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. The Warriors rank 26th in steals allowed per game (8.3).
Houston ranks seventh in points off turnovers per game (18.1) while Golden State ranks 24th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.7).
The Warriors rank 12th in assists per game (25.2) while the Rockets rank 29th (21.4).
Golden State ranks 11th in fast break points per game (13.9) while Houston ranks 27th in fast break points allowed per game (15.6).
The Rockets average 45.6 rebounds per game, which ranks 13th in the league. The Warriors rank 28th in rebounds allowed per game (47.2).
Houston ranks 20th in points in the paint per game (47.1) while Golden State ranks last (42.8).
The Rockets rank 19th in second chance points per game (12.7) while the Warriors rank 26th (12.0).
Houston ranks 13th in blocks per game (5.0) while Golden State ranks 17th in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
Over its last five games, Houston is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Golden State is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Rockets have been outscored by an average of 0.2 points in their last five games. For the season, Houston has defeated opponents by an average of 3.7 points.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 108.0 points per game (1.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 119.2 points per game (4.5 above their season average).