The Golden State Warriors (10-34) will attempt to end their seven-game road losing streak in a matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers (18-26) at Moda Center at the Rose Quarter. The game gets underway at 10 p.m. ET on Monday, January 20, 2020.
Golden State Warriors at Portland Trail Blazers Betting Prediction
The Warriors will be looking for similar success after beating the Orlando Magic in their last matchup, 109-95, as 6-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (204) came in under the O/U total of 214. The Warriors forced 15 turnovers, while the Magic had a free throw rate of 0.093 (below their season average of 0.198). Golden State was led by D’Angelo Russell, who was the top scorer from either team with 26 points on 9-for-21 shooting.
The last time the Trail Blazers took the court, they lost to the Oklahoma City Thunder, 119-106. They failed to cover as 6.5-point underdogs. The game’s total points (225) were over the projected point total of 215.5. One of Oklahoma City’s biggest advantages was getting to the charity stripe. They made 36 trips to the line, while Portland went 21 times. Portland’s Gary Trent Jr. had 30 points and five rebounds in the contest.
Both teams have won a game in the season series. The Trail Blazers won the most recent matchup 122-112, covering as 9-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 234 points, which was 12 points above the projected point total of 222 points. The Trail Blazers made 25 of their 28 free throws (89.3 percent) and had a better offensive rebounding percentage (29.8 vs. 28.3). Damian Lillard recorded a double-double with 31 points and 13 assists.
Golden State holds records of 10-34 straight up (SU) and 20-23-1 against the spread (ATS). Matchups including the Warriors have a tendency to go under the total (59.1 percent).
Meanwhile, Portland owns records of 18-26 SU and 16-26-2 ATS. Games featuring the Trail Blazers have no tendency in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Based on historical performance heading into this one, ball protection could play a key role in this showdown. Portland commits the second-fewest miscues in the NBA (turnover percentage of 12.2 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Golden State forces the fourth-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 14.7 percent).
Golden State Warriors at Portland Trail Blazers Odds Pick
Prediction: ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Under
Betting Trends
On the road, Golden State is 10-12 ATS with 12 unders and 10 overs.
At home, Portland is 6-12-1 ATS with 11 overs and 8 unders.
Golden State is 5-2 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Portland is 4-0.
The Warriors are 10-21 when they reach the century mark, while the Trail Blazers are 18-20.
Golden State ranks sixth in steals per game (8.5) while Portland ranks last (5.9).
The Trail Blazers rank first in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.3) while the Warriors rank 23rd (17.8).
Portland ranks second in blocks per game (6.4) while Golden State ranks 21st (4.5).
The Trail Blazers rank 11th in rebounds per game (45.9) while the Warriors rank 27th in rebounds allowed per game (47.1).
Golden State ranks 14th in assists per game (24.6) while Portland ranks last (19.7).
The Trail Blazers rank 13th in three pointers attempted per game (33.6) while the Warriors rank 27th (29.8).
Golden State ranks 19th in second chance points per game (12.6) while Portland ranks 29th in second chance points allowed per game (15.6).
The Trail Blazers rank 15th in fast break points per game (12.6) while the Warriors rank 22nd in fast break points allowed per game (14.5).
Portland is 29th in the league with 43.4 points in the paint per game while Golden State is last with 42.6 points in the paint per game.
Over its last five contests, Golden State is 2-2-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Portland is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Warriors’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 9.0, up from 8.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 110.2 points per game (1.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 116.0 points per game (2.1 above their season average).
