The Orlando Magic (7-11) clash against the Golden State Warriors (4-16) at the Amway Center. The game starts at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 1, 2019, and will air on NBC Sports – Bay Area.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 206.5 points with Orlando opening as an 8.5-point favorite.
Golden State Warriors vs. Orlando Magic Betting Prediction
In the Warriors’ last outing, they were defeated by the Miami Heat, 122-105, and failed to cover as 11.5-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (227) were well over the O/U total of 208. Miami out-rebounded Golden State. The Heat had more offensive rebounds (nine vs. four), defensive rebounds (39 vs. 26) and total rebounds (48 vs. 30). Jordan Poole was Golden State’s high scorer with 20 points on 5-for-10 shooting.
The Magic fell to the Toronto Raptors in their last contest, 90-83. They failed to cover as 3-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (173) came in well under the O/U total of 209. Toronto’s turnover percentage was the team’s biggest strength over Orlando. The Raptors posted a mark of 11.9 (better than their season average of 13.0), while the Magic had a rate of 19.7 (above their season average of 11.2). With 19 points on 3-for-9 shooting, Evan Fournier was Orlando’s leading scorer.
After splitting two games last season, these teams will battle for the first time this year. The Magic won the most recent matchup 103-96. The Magic knocked down 12 of their 15 free throws (80.0 percent) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.511 vs. 0.448).
Golden State heads into the game with records of 4-16 straight up (SU) and 9-11 against the spread (ATS). Of the Warriors’ 20 games, 11 have finished over the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Orlando is 7-11 SU and 6-10-2 ATS. Games featuring the Magic have no tendency in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Both teams have had a player step their game up over their last five games. Marquese Chriss (11 points,3.2 assists,2.2 blocks,1.6 steals) has been fantastic for the Warriors while Jonathan Isaac (16 points,8.0 rebounds,2.2 blocks,1.8 steals) has contributed greatly to the Magic.
There’s a decent chance that Golden State struggles to create turnovers. Orlando ranks fourth in the league at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.9 percent), while Golden State forces the 18th-most turnovers (14.2 percent). Moreover, the Warriors rank 24th in offensive rebounding percentage (21.9 percent), while the Magic rank fourth in defensive rebounding percentage (79.6 percent).
Golden State Warriors vs. Orlando Magic Odds Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Over
Betting Trends
On the road, Golden State is 5-6 ATS with 7 overs and 4 unders.
At home, Orlando is 3-5-2 ATS with 5 overs and 5 unders.
In contests where they allow less than 100 points, Orlando is 4-2 and Golden State is 2-1.
In games where they score more than 100 points, the Warriors are 4-11 and the Magic are 5-3.
Orlando ranks sixth in assists allowed per game (22.7) while Golden State ranks 28th (26.2).
The Magic rank second in blocks per game (6.6) while the Warriors rank 21st (4.5).
Orlando ranks fifth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.4) while Golden State ranks 22nd (18.3).
The Magic rank third in fast break points allowed per game (11.7) while the Warriors rank 15th (13.2).
Orlando ranks third in steals allowed per game (6.8) while Golden State ranks 13th (7.5).
The Magic average 45.6 rebounds per game, which ranks 14th in the league. The Warriors rank 22nd in rebounds allowed per game (46.4).
Orlando ranks 20th in three pointers attempted per game (30.9) while Golden State ranks 27th (29.5).
The Magic rank 19th in second chance points per game (12.4) while the Warriors rank 22nd in second chance points allowed per game (13.8).
Golden State is 26th in the NBA with 43.7 points in the paint per game while Orlando is 27th with 43.6 points in the paint per game.
Over its last five contests, Golden State is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Orlando is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Warriors’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 11.6, up from 9.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Magic have scored an average of 98.0 points per game (3.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 104.2 points per game (1.9 above their season average).
