The Golden State Warriors head to TD Garden this Saturday night to wrap up their two-game regular-season series against the Boston Celtics, so here’s the best betting pick for their interconference showdown along with the latest odds update on BetMGM Sportsbook.
Back on February 2, the Celtics outlast the Warriors as 2.5-point road favorites, 111-107, recording their fourth straight victory over Golden State. This time, the Celtics are 4-point favorites on the home court, while the totals sit at 228.5 points.
Boston misses Robert Williams (knee), while Evan Fournier (medical protocols) is questionable to play. On the other side, Golden State cannot count on Klay Thompson (Achilles), Eric Paschall (hip), and James Wiseman (knee), while Kelly Oubre Jr. (wrist) is listed as questionable.
The Warriors hope to stay on the winning path
The Golden State Warriors (28-28; 27-29 ATS) are rolling on a four-game winning streak following a 119-101 victory at the Cleveland Cavaliers this past Thursday. They shot 51.1% from the field while dishing out 33 assists and scoring 56 points in the paint.
Steph Curry had another good game in Cleveland, accounting for 33 points on 12-for-25 from the field. Over his last seven outings, Curry has been averaging a whopping 39.4 points per game.
The Dubs continue to surge the Western Conference standings. They are the No. 9 seed at the moment, trailing half a game behind the eighth-seeded Memphis Grizzlies and our games behind the No. 6 seed. The Warriors score 110.1 points per 100 possessions (20th in the NBA) and surrender 110.6 in a return (9th).
The Celtics aim for their sixth consecutive win
The Boston Celtics (30-26; 28-28 ATS) are on a five-game win streak following a 121-113 victory over the Los Angeles Lakers last Thursday. They closed down a three-game road trip in style, covering a 7-point spread against the reigning champions.
Jaylen Brown went off for 40 points, and the Celtics shot 56.5% from the field and 43.8% from beyond the arc. They led by as many as 27 points, torturing the shorthanded Lakers all night long.
Boston is now tied with Atlanta for the No. 4 seed in the Eastern Conference. The Knicks are just one game behind, while the third-seeded Milwaukee Bucks are 5.5 games ahead of the Celtics. Boston tallies 114.3 points per 100 possessions (10th in the league) and yields 112.2 in a return (15th).
- 2-6 ATS in the last eight games against Boston
- 3-6 ATS in the last nine games against the Eastern Conference
- 4-1 ATS in the last five games overall
- 5-0 ATS in the last five games against the Western Conference
Both Golden State and Boston have been playing very well recently, but I have to go with the Celtics who have really improved on both sides of the ball. Over their last five outings, the Celtics have recorded a few nice victories including a 105-87 thrashing of the Nuggets on the road.
If they slow down Steph Curry, the Celtics will win this clash comfortably. The Warriors have some injury problems and lean way too much on their best player. Steph has been spectacular lately, but he’ll have to regress eventually, and the Warriors don’t have too many offensive weapons besides Curry.
Pick: Take Boston Celtics -4.0 at -110
If you like to follow the betting trends, go get the under, as the last ten encounters between the Celtics and Warriors went in the under. Furthermore, the under is 9-1 in Boston’s last ten outings at home, and it is 12-4 in Golden State’s previous 16 showings on the road.
However, the Celtics haven’t impressed defensively, while the Warriors are playing at the second-fastest pace in the NBA, averaging 102.5 possessions per 48 minutes. Therefore, I would opt with the over, but the Celtics remain my best betting pick in this one.
Pick: Go over 228.5 points at -110