The Los Angeles Clippers (1-2) will be at home in Staples Center when they go head-to-head against the Golden State Warriors (2-1) in game four of the First Round of the Western Conference Playoffs. The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 235 points with Golden State set as an 8.5-point favorite. Action gets underway at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 21, 2019.
Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Clippers Free Preview
In game three, these two teams combined to put up 237 points, just over the projected point total of 235. The Warriors won 132-105, covering as 9-point favorites. Golden State’s 0.629 effective field goal percentage was its biggest advantage over Los Angeles, who had a mark of 0.410. Durant was the game’s leading scorer with 38 points.
The aggressive Los Angeles offense could be getting to the foul line a lot in this matchup. The Clippers rank first in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.258, while Golden State is among the league’s most foul-prone squads (giving up a 23rd-ranked FTA rate of 0.207). Additionally, the Warriors rank first in offensive efficiency (114.7), while the Clippers rank 21st in defensive efficiency (109.9).
Of Golden State’s 85 games, 45 have finished under the projected point total, while 47 of Los Angeles’ 85 games have finished over the O/U total. The Warriors have the better straight up (SU) record (59-26 vs. 49-36), but the Clippers hold the clear advantage against the spread (ATS) (46-38-1 vs. 37-47-1).
Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Clippers Odds Prediction
Prediction: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Over
The Warriors average 19.2 fast break points per game, which ranks third in the league. The Clippers rank 22nd in fast break points allowed per game (15.1).
Golden State ranks 15th in points off turnovers per game (16.4) while Los Angeles ranks 26th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.8).
Golden State ranks first in assists per game (29.5) while Los Angeles ranks 18th (24.1).
Los Angeles ranks 15th in second chance points per game (13.2) while Golden State ranks 21st in second chance points allowed per game (13.8).
On the road, Golden State is 20-22 ATS with 23 overs and 19 unders.
Los Angeles is 22-20 ATS at home with 28 overs, 13 unders and 1 push.
When holding opponents below 100 points, Los Angeles is 7-1 and Golden State is 10-0.
The Warriors are 59-18 when they score more than 100 points, while the Clippers are 49-27.
The Warriors average 7.6 steals per game, which ranks 14th in the NBA. The Clippers rank 25th in steals allowed per game (8.2).
Golden State ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.6) while Los Angeles ranks last (6.2).
The Clippers rank eighth in points in the paint per game (51.1) while the Warriors rank 29th (43.2).
The Warriors average 46.2 rebounds per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. The Clippers rank 21st in rebounds allowed per game (45.8).
Golden State ranks eighth in three pointers attempted per game (34.3) while Los Angeles ranks 27th (26.0).
Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Over its last five games, Golden State is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
The Clippers have been outscored by an average of 12.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Los Angeles has defeated opponents by an average of 0.4 points.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 122.6 points per game (4.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 115.8 points per game (4.5 above their season average).