The Golden State Warriors (10-38) look to snap their nine-game road losing streak in a matchup against the Boston Celtics (31-15) at TD Garden. The game will air on TNT at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 30, 2020.
Golden State Warriors at Boston Celtics ATS Prediction
The last time the Warriors played, they were beaten by the Philadelphia 76ers, 115-104, but they did cover as 13.5-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (219) came in over the O/U total of 215. One of Philadelphia’s largest strengths was getting to the free throw line. They made 26 trips to the line, while Golden State went 21 times. D’Angelo Russell was the game’s high scorer with 28 points on 10-for-22 shooting.
The Celtics were victorious over the Miami Heat in their last matchup, 109-101, covering as 3-point favorites. The game’s combined points (210) were under the O/U total of 221.5. Boston’s 0.548 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Miami, who had a mark of 0.421. The Celtics’ mark was above their season average of 0.528, while the Heat’s was below their season average of 0.549. Gordon Hayward was the top scorer from either team with 29 points on 10-for-14 shooting from the field.
Boston figures to have the advantage on the offensive side of the ball. The Celtics currently rank seventh in offensive efficiency, while Golden State ranks 25th in defensive efficiency.
Golden State heads into the game with records of 10-38 straight up (SU) and 22-25-1 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Warriors games, with 26 unders compared to 22 overs.
Meanwhile, Boston is 31-15 SU and 27-18-1 ATS. Just over half of Celtics games have also finished under the total.
Both teams have had a player step their game up over their last five games. Russell (27 points,7.6 assists) has been fantastic for the Warriors while Hayward (19 points,7.2 rebounds,4.6 assists) has contributed greatly to the Celtics.
This will be the second game of the season between these two squads. In the first, Jayson Tatum scored a game-high 24 points and the Celtics beat the Warriors 105-100 but could not cover as 7-point favorites. He also recorded eight rebounds. The game finished with a total of 205 points, which was 18 points below the projected point total of 223 points. The Celtics’ turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Warriors. Boston had a rate of 12.2, while Golden State posted a mark of 16.4.
Warriors vs. Celtics Betting Pick
NBA Prediction: ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Over
Betting Trends
On the road, Golden State is 12-12 ATS with 12 overs and 12 unders.
Boston is 13-10 ATS at home with 12 overs, 10 unders and 1 push.
Boston is 11-2 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Golden State is 5-2.
When scoring above 100 points, the Celtics are 30-9 and the Warriors are 10-24.
Boston ranks second in steals allowed per game (6.8) while Golden State ranks 25th (8.2).
The Celtics rank sixth in assists allowed per game (23.0) while the Warriors rank 27th (25.6).
Boston averages 15.3 fast break points per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Golden State ranks 26th in fast break points allowed per game (14.8).
The Celtics rank 11th in points in the paint per game (48.8) while the Warriors rank last (42.5).
Boston ranks 10th in rebounds allowed per game (44.3) while Golden State ranks 27th (47.2).
The Celtics rank fifth in blocks per game (5.9) while the Warriors rank 21st (4.4).
Boston averages 18.1 points off turnovers per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. Golden State ranks 23rd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.9).
The Celtics rank 12th in three pointers attempted per game (34.0) while the Warriors rank 26th (30.2).
Boston averages 13.1 second chance points per game, which ranks 13th in the league. Golden State ranks 24th in second chance points allowed per game (13.7).
Over its last five contests, Golden State is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Boston is 4-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over its last five games.
The Warriors’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 9.2, up from 8.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Celtics have scored an average of 116.8 points per game (4.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 104.8 points per game (0.7 below their season average).
