The Detroit Pistons (19-41) look to snap their seven-game losing streak when they take on the Phoenix Suns (24-35) at Talking Stick Resort Arena. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, February 28, 2020, and will air on Fox Sports – Detroit.
Detroit Pistons at Phoenix Suns ATS Prediction
The Pistons are hoping to rebound after not being able to cover as 13.5-point underdogs in their 115-98 loss to the Denver Nuggets in their last contest. The game’s combined points (213) came in just over the O/U total of 212.5. Denver’s effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Detroit. The Nuggets had a rate of 0.638 (above their season average of 0.528), while the Pistons posted a mark of 0.500. Christian Wood was Detroit’s high scorer with 20 points on 7-for-16 shooting.
The last time the Suns took the floor, they lost to the Los Angeles Clippers, 102-92. They failed to cover as 7.5-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (194) were well under the O/U total of 233. Los Angeles’ effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Phoenix. The Clippers had a rate of 0.524 (below their season average of 0.528), while the Suns posted a mark of 0.443 (below their season average of 0.525). With 25 points on 11-for-22 shooting, Deandre Ayton was the game’s high scorer.
This will be the second game of the season between these two squads. Andre Drummond scored a game-high 31 points in the first game, in which the Pistons beat the Suns 116-108, covering as 3-point underdogs. He also recorded 19 rebounds. The game finished with a total of 224 points, which was 7 points above the projected point total of 217 points. Detroit had a much better turnover percentage (5.6 vs. 15.2). Phoenix, meanwhile, did an excellent job of converting from the free throw line (12-15; 80.0 percent).
Detroit comes into the game with records of 19-41 straight up (SU) and 22-36-2 against the spread (ATS). Pistons games have typically finished over the total (60.0 percent).
Meanwhile, Phoenix owns records of 24-35 SU and 27-31-1 ATS. In opposition of Detroit, Suns games have a slight tendency to finish under the O/U total (50.8 percent).
Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. Wood (19 points,10.2 rebounds,1.4 blocks) has been stellar for the Pistons while Ricky Rubio (15 points,9.0 assists,3.2 steals) has made great contributions to the Suns.
It could be a mistake-prone game for the Detroit offense. Detroit ranks 28th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.7 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Phoenix forces the third-most turnovers in the league (15.0 percent).
Detroit Pistons at Phoenix Suns ATS Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Suns, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Under
Detroit is 11-16-2 ATS on the road with 15 overs and 14 unders.
Phoenix is 11-18-1 ATS at home with 16 overs and 14 unders.
In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Phoenix is 7-2 and Detroit is 4-3.
The Suns are 23-28 when they reach 100 points, while the Pistons are 18-28.
Phoenix ranks fourth in points off turnovers per game (18.7) while Detroit ranks 23rd (15.9).
The Suns rank second in assists per game (27.1) while the Pistons rank 21st in assists allowed per game (24.9).
Detroit ranks 12th in second chance points per game (13.4) while Phoenix ranks 25th (12.2).
The Suns rank 11th in steals per game (8.0) while the Pistons rank 22nd in steals allowed per game (8.1).
Detroit averages 48.6 points in the paint per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. Phoenix ranks 20th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.7).
The Pistons rank 19th in blocks per game (4.7) while the Suns rank 26th (3.9).
Phoenix ranks 21st in rebounds per game (43.2) while Detroit ranks 27th (42.3).
The Pistons rank second in three pointers allowed per game (29.8) while the Suns rank sixth (32.1).
In its last five games, Detroit is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Phoenix is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over its last five games.
The Pistons’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 11.0, up from 3.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 109.6 points per game (2.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 108.2 points per game (5.1 below their season average).