The Detroit Pistons and New Orleans pelicans will close down their two-game regular-season series Wednesday at Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, so I’ve prepared the best betting pick for this interconference showdown along with the latest odds update on BetRivers Sportsbook and all need-to-know betting tips and trends.
The Pistons upset the Pels in their first meeting of the season, earning a 123-112 victory as 5.5-point home underdogs. They opened as 9.5-point road dogs for Wednesday’s clash, and the Pistons will miss Delon Wright (groin) and Kilian Hayes (hip). Of course, Blake Griffin is on the shelf and won’t play again for Detroit.
On the other side, the Pelicans should come in full strength, as Steven Adamas (ankle) is listed as probable after missing the previous two games.
Detroit beat Orlando to halt a three-game slide
The Detroit Pistons (9-22; 15-13-3 ATS) split a two-game set against the Orlando Magic at Amway Center. After a 105-96 loss in the opener, the Pistons outlasted the Magic 105-93 as 4.5-point underdogs this past Tuesday to put an end to a three-game losing streak.
Rookie Saban Lee led the way for Detroit with a career-high 21 points on 8-for-11 from the field. The Pistons played good defense, holding the Magic to 37.5% shooting from the field and surrendering just 36 points in the paint.
Detroit is still the worst team in the Eastern Conference and the second-worst club in the entire league. The Pistons score 108.0 points per 100 possessions (24th in the NBA) on a terrible 43.5% shooting from the field (29th) and 34.9% from beyond the 3-point line (26th). They surrender 112.5 points in a return (20th) on 48.1 FG% (28th) and 37.7 3P% (22nd).
New Orleans stunned Boston in overtime to snap a two-game skid
The New Orleans Pelicans (13-17; 13-17 ATS) are coming off a huge 120-115 overtime victory at Smoothie King Center, outlasting the Boston Celtics as 2.5-point home underdogs this past Sunday. The Pels rallied from a 24-point second-half deficit thanks to a rare solid defensive performance.
They limited the Celtics to just 39.8% shooting from the field and 27.0% from beyond the arc. Brandon Ingram led the way for the Pelicans with 33 points and six rebounds, while Zion Williamson added 28 points and ten boards in 40 minutes on the floor.
New Orleans has struggled mightily on the defensive end thus far, yielding a whopping 115.9 points per 100 possessions (28th in the NBA). Also, the Pelicans rank 21st in opponent field goal percentage (47.1%) and 28th in opponent 3-point percentage (39.5%). They score 115.6 points in a return (8th) on 48.1% shooting from the field (also 8th) and 36.5% from downtown (14th).
- 1-6 ATS in the last seven games against the Southwest Division
- 3-6-2 ATS in the last 11 road contests
- 11-6 ATS in the last 17 games against Detroit
- 4-2 ATS in the last six tilts against the Eastern Conference
While the Pistons can already look to the future, the Pelicans desperately need to get things going in order to stay alive in the playoff race. New Orleans is 2-5 SU and ATS over its previous seven outings, so I’m expecting the Pels to bounce back and beat the Pistons by ten or more points.
After a good defensive display against the Celtics, the Pelicans will try to replicate it against one of the worst offensive teams in the league. They should be fired up to get revenge for that surprising loss in Detroit earlier in the season.
Pick: Take New Orleans -9.5 at -110
The over has hit in the Pelicans’ last eight outings and it is a ridiculous 16-3-1 in their previous 20 games overall. If you like to follow the betting trends, this one’s a no-brainer, but I’m looking for a different scenario Wednesday when the Pistons visit Smoothie King Center.
Detroit is a disaster offensively. Also, the Pistons prefer to play at a slow pace, averaging 97.8 possessions per 48 minutes (25th), while the Pelicans record 98.6 (22nd). In the Pistons’ last three outings, at least one of the rivals failed to surpass a 100-point mark.
Pick: Go under 222.5 points at -110