The Charlotte Hornets (6-12) look to put an end to their five-game losing streak when they take on the Detroit Pistons (6-11) at Spectrum Center. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 27, 2019, and will air on Fox Sports – Detroit.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 216.5 points with Detroit set as a 4-point favorite.
Detroit Pistons vs. Charlotte Hornets ATS Prediction
The Pistons will be hoping for a similar outcome after easily covering the 5-point spread against the Orlando Magic in their last contest, 103-88. The game’s total points (191) were well under the projected point total of 208.5. The Pistons knocked down 21 of their 25 free throws (84.0 percent) and held the Magic to an offensive rebounding percentage of 16.7 (below their season average of 23.5). With 20 points on 6-for-11 shooting, Luke Kennard was the game’s high scorer.
In the Hornets’ previous game, they were beaten by the Miami Heat, 117-100. They failed to cover as 10.5-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (217) came in over the O/U total of 212.5. Miami was successful at getting and making free throws. The Heat made 24 of their 28 free throws (85.7 percent), while the Hornets were 19-25 (76.0 percent). With 19 points on 7-for-15 shooting, Terry Rozier led Charlotte in scoring.
Half-court execution will be at a premium when two of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams clash. Charlotte currently ranks 22nd in possessions per game (101.8) and Detroit is 27th (100.9). It could also be a mistake-prone game for the Pistons’ offense, which ranks 29th in ball security (turnover percentage of 16.4 percent). They’ll be going up against the top-notch defense of the Hornets, which forces the fourth-most turnovers in the league (15.7 percent).
Detroit heads into the game with records of 6-11 straight up (SU) and 6-9-2 against the spread (ATS). Of the Pistons’ 17 games, nine have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, Charlotte is 6-12 SU and 9-9 ATS. Of the Hornets’ 18 games, 10 have finished over the O/U total.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. Devonte’ Graham put up 18 points, 10 assists and five rebounds in the first matchup, in which the Hornets beat the Pistons 109-106, covering as 4-point underdogs. The game finished with a total of 215 points, which was just 5 points below the projected point total of 220 points. The Hornets’ 8.8 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Pistons, who had a rate of 18.1.
Pistons vs. Hornets Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Pistons, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Over
Detroit averages 24.6 assists per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. Charlotte ranks 28th in assists allowed per game (27.5).
Detroit ranks 14th in second chance points per game (13.0) while Charlotte ranks 19th in second chance points allowed per game (13.7).
The Pistons rank 23rd in steals allowed per game (8.8) while the Hornets rank 25th (9.3).
Detroit is 1-6-2 ATS on the road, while Charlotte is 4-4 ATS at home.
In its last five outings, Detroit is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Charlotte is 1-4 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over its last five games.
The Pistons have outscored opponents by an average of 0.6 points in their last five games. On the season, Detroit has been defeated by an average of 2.4 points.
During their last five games, the Hornets have scored an average of 104.0 points per game (1.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 118.2 points per game (4.3 above their season average).