The Philadelphia 76ers (38-26) will attempt to prolong their 14-game home winning streak in a matchup against the Detroit Pistons (20-45) at Wells Fargo Center. The game will air on Fox Sports – Detroit at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 11, 2020.
Detroit Pistons at Philadelphia 76ers ATS Prediction
The Pistons were not able to cover as 6-point underdogs in their 96-84 loss to the New York Knicks in their last matchup. The total points set at the online sportsbooks for the game (180) came in well under the projected point total of 211.5. New York won the rebounding battle. The Knicks had more offensive rebounds (13 vs. five), defensive rebounds (38 vs. 30) and total rebounds (51 vs. 35). Christian Wood was Detroit’s high scorer with 22 points on 8-for-13 shooting.
The last time the 76ers played, they lost to the Golden State Warriors, 118-114, despite being 4-point favorites. The game’s combined points (232) finished over the O/U total of 219.5. Golden State’s turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Philadelphia. The Warriors posted a mark of 7.0 (stronger than their season average of 12.8), while the 76ers had a rate of 10.5. Philadelphia’s Al Horford finished with 22 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists in the contest.
The 76ers have emerged victorious in both matchups against the Pistons this year, including a 16-point victory in their last matchup. Philadelphia covered as a 6.5-point favorite and the game finished with a total of 234 points, which was 18.5 points above the projected point total of 215.5 points. The 76ers had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (41.5 vs. 16.2) and had a better turnover percentage (10.7 vs. 12.4). Andre Drummond was a top player in the game with 27 points and nine rebounds.
Detroit holds records of 20-45 straight up (SU) and 26-37-2 against the spread (ATS). Pistons matchups have a tendency to go over the projected point total (60.0 percent).
Meanwhile, Philadelphia is 38-26 SU and 28-32-4 ATS. Of the 76ers’ 64 games, 34 have finished over the total.
Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. Wood (24 points,10.2 rebounds) has been stellar for the Pistons while Tobias Harris (23 points,7.2 rebounds,3.8 assists) has contributed greatly to the 76ers.
Half-court execution will be at a premium when a pair of the league’s slowest-paced teams clash. Philadelphia ranks 24th in possessions per game (100.5) and Detroit is 26th (100.4).
Detroit Pistons vs. Philadelphia 76ers Free Pick
Prediction: ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Over
On the road, Detroit is 13-17-2 ATS with 16 overs and 16 unders.
Philadelphia is 17-10-3 ATS at home with 16 overs, 13 unders and 1 push.
When allowing less than 100 points, Philadelphia is 14-1 and Detroit is 4-4.
The 76ers are 34-13 when they score over 100 points, while the Pistons are 19-31.
Philadelphia ranks second in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while Detroit ranks 25th (5.6).
The 76ers rank fifth in steals allowed per game (6.9) while the Pistons rank 26th (8.2).
Philadelphia ranks 11th in rebounds per game (45.4) while Detroit ranks 28th (41.9).
The 76ers rank 10th in fast break points per game (14.1) while the Pistons rank 25th (10.9).
Philadelphia ranks third in second chance points allowed per game (11.5) while Detroit ranks 16th (13.1).
The 76ers rank fourth in assists allowed per game (22.7) while the Pistons rank 16th (24.6).
Philadelphia ranks 15th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.2) while Detroit ranks 26th (52.1).
The 76ers allow the fewest three pointers per game (28.8) while the Pistons rank second (29.5).
Over its last five games, Detroit is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Philadelphia is 3-2 ATS with 5 overs over its last five games.
The Pistons’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.8, up from 3.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 118.2 points per game (8.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 117.6 points per game (10.2 above their season average).