The Milwaukee Bucks will be at home in Fiserv Forum when they square off with the Detroit Pistons to open the First Round of the Eastern Conference Playoffs. The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 219 points with Milwaukee set as a 12.5-point favorite. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 14, 2019, and it can be seen on TNT.
Detroit Pistons at Milwaukee Bucks Odds Preview
These two teams have met four times already this season, with the Bucks winning all four. Giannis Antetokounmpo had 21 points, 11 assists and eight rebounds in the most recent contest, in which the Bucks beat the Pistons 115-105, covering as 7-point favorites. The two teams combined for 220 points, which was just 3.5 points above the projected point total of 216.5 points. Milwaukee’s 0.615 effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over Detroit, who had a mark of 0.539.
It will be a showdown of contrasting styles as the fast-paced Bucks will look to push the more grind-it-out Pistons. The Bucks rank fifth in possessions per game while the Pistons are 28th. Moreover, the Pistons rank 22nd in offensive efficiency (107.1), while the Bucks rank first in defensive efficiency (103.4).
Of Detroit’s 82 games, 43 have finished under the projected point total, while 41 of Milwaukee’s 82 games have finished over the projected point total. The Bucks come into this game with a clear advantage in both straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 60-22 SU and 47-32-3 ATS, while the Pistons are 41-41 SU and 42-39-1 ATS.
Detroit Pistons vs. Milwaukee Bucks ATS Prediction
Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Over
The Bucks rank third in points in the paint per game (53.3) while the Pistons rank 22nd (44.8).
Detroit ranks 14th in second chance points per game (13.3) while Milwaukee ranks 26th (11.7).
Milwaukee ranks seventh in assists per game (26.0) while Detroit ranks 26th (22.5).
Milwaukee ranks third in steals allowed per game (6.8) while Detroit ranks fifth (6.9).
Detroit is 21-20 ATS on the road with 23 unders, 17 overs and 1 push.
Milwaukee is 23-17-1 ATS at home with 21 overs and 20 unders.
Detroit is 16-3 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Milwaukee is 20-1.
When reaching the century mark, the Pistons are 37-25 and the Bucks are 59-18.
The Bucks rank first in rebounds per game (49.7) while the Pistons rank 17th (45.0).
Detroit ranks second in three pointers allowed per game (27.8) while Milwaukee ranks 28th (36.3).
The Bucks rank second in blocks per game (5.9) while the Pistons rank 26th (4.0).
The Bucks rank second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.5) while the Pistons rank 13th (16.0).
Milwaukee ranks sixth in fast break points per game (17.7) while Detroit ranks 29th (10.0).
Milwaukee is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under in its last five games.
Over its past five outings, Detroit is 1-4 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.6, down from 8.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 101.0 points per game (6.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 103.4 points per game (3.9 below their season average).