The Philadelphia 76ers (17-7) will attempt to lengthen a 12-game home winning streak when they challenge the Denver Nuggets (14-7) at Wells Fargo Center. The game can be seen on Altitude Sports & Entertainmnt at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 10, 2019.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 206 points with Philadelphia opening as a 4-point favorite.
Denver Nuggets at Philadelphia 76ers ATS Prediction
The last time the Nuggets played, they were 4-point favorites and were defeated by the Brooklyn Nets, 105-102. The game’s total points (207) were under the projected point total of 212. Brooklyn’s offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over Denver. The Nets had a rate of 25.0 (above their season average of 24.0), while the Nuggets posted a mark of 15.6 (below their season average of 23.8). Nikola Jokic led Denver in scoring with 24 points on 10-for-21 shooting.
The 76ers defeated the Toronto Raptors in their last matchup, 110-104, covering as 3-point favorites. The game’s total points (214) finished just under the projected point total of 214.5. Philadelphia’s effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Toronto. The 76ers had a rate of 0.595 (above their season average of 0.539), while the Raptors posted a mark of 0.494. With 16 points, 11 rebounds and nine assists, Philadelphia’s Ben Simmons put together a good game.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Jokic scored a game-high 26 points and the Nuggets beat the 76ers 100-97 but could not cover as 5-point favorites. He also recorded 10 rebounds and six assists. The game finished with a total of 197 points, which was 14.5 points below the projected point total of 211.5 points. Denver had a much better turnover percentage (9.6 vs. 15.4). Philadelphia, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (24.4 vs. 15.6).
Denver has a solid 14-7 straight up (SU) record, but they struggle covering the spread (8-11-2 against the spread (ATS)). Of the Nuggets’ 21 games, 16 have finished under the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Philadelphia owns records of 17-7 SU and 12-11-1 ATS. Games featuring the 76ers have no tendency in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Philadelphia might struggle to find the bottom of the net as they battle against one of the NBA’s best defenses. Denver currently ranks third in defensive efficiency, while the 76ers rank 13th in offensive efficiency.
Denver Nuggets vs. Philadelphia 76ers Pick
NBA Pick: ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Under
Betting Trends
On the road, Denver is 4-5-1 ATS with 7 unders and 3 overs.
Philadelphia is 7-5 ATS at home with 7 unders, 4 overs and 1 push.
Philadelphia and Denver are both 9-0 when they allow below 100 points.
When scoring more than 100 points, the 76ers are 15-4 and the Nuggets are 12-4.
Denver ranks third in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.4) while Philadelphia ranks 17th (17.6).
The 76ers rank first in assists allowed per game (20.4) while the Nuggets rank 15th (23.9).
Philadelphia ranks second in steals per game (8.9) while Denver ranks 15th (7.7).
The 76ers rank first in three pointers allowed per game (26.8) while the Nuggets rank 13th (33.0).
Denver ranks 16th in second chance points per game (12.7) while Philadelphia ranks 25th (11.8).
The 76ers rank fourth in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while the Nuggets rank 12th (4.6).
Philadelphia ranks 10th in points in the paint per game (48.3) while Denver ranks 18th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.5).
The 76ers rank first in rebounds allowed per game (39.4) while the Nuggets rank eighth (44.9).
Over its last five contests, Denver is 1-4 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Philadelphia is 3-2 ATS with 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push over its last five games.
The Nuggets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.8, down from 4.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 117.2 points per game (7.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 105.4 points per game (1.4 above their season average).
