The Denver Nuggets are expected to be a playoff team this year, while the Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to be in the Victor Wembanyama sweepstakes at the end of the year. But both teams are 4-3 through their first seven games of this season, and will face off on Thursday night in half of a two-game NBA slate. In our NBA betting picks for Thursday night, we look at Nuggets vs Thunder from Oklahoma City.
NBA
Denver Nuggets
Oklahoma City Thunder
Team Stats Per Game
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
Offense/Defense
DEN | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | OKC |
---|---|---|
79 | Games | 79 |
46.4 | FG | 41.5 |
93.8 | FGA | 90.7 |
.495 | FG% | .457 |
12.3 | 3Pt-FG | 13.8 |
33.0 | 3Pt-FGA | 37.9 |
.374 | 3Pt% | .365 |
34.1 | 2Pt-FG | 27.7 |
60.8 | 2Pt-FGA | 52.8 |
.560 | 2Pt% | .524 |
16.0 | FT | 18.5 |
21.0 | FTA | 23.5 |
.762 | FT% | .788 |
11.3 | ORB | 12.2 |
31.1 | DRB | 29.9 |
42.5 | TRB | 42.1 |
31.1 | AST | 27.5 |
7.5 | STL | 7.2 |
5.9 | BLK | 5.3 |
12.1 | TOV | 14.9 |
19.2 | PF | 19.4 |
121.2 | PTS | 115.4 |
Defense/Offense
DEN | Team Stats Per 100 Poss | OKC |
---|---|---|
79 | Games | 79 |
42.8 | FG | 45.1 |
92.9 | FGA | 90.6 |
.461 | FG% | .498 |
11.8 | 3Pt-FG | 13.5 |
33.3 | 3Pt-FGA | 34.7 |
.354 | 3Pt% | .388 |
31.0 | 2Pt-FG | 31.7 |
59.6 | 2Pt-FGA | 55.9 |
.521 | 2Pt% | .566 |
18.2 | FT | 18.1 |
23.5 | FTA | 21.9 |
.776 | FT% | .824 |
11.5 | ORB | 9.0 |
29.3 | DRB | 30.4 |
40.7 | TRB | 39.4 |
27.2 | AST | 27.3 |
7.5 | STL | 8.5 |
5.1 | BLK | 6.7 |
12.0 | TOV | 11.8 |
18.9 | PF | 19.3 |
115.7 | PTS | 121.9 |
Four Factors
Offense/Defense
DEN | Four Factors | OKC |
---|---|---|
.561 | eFG% | .534 |
10.5 | TOV% | 12.8 |
27.9 | RB% | 71.4 |
.171 | FT/FGA | .204 |
Defense/Offense
DEN | Four Factors | OKC |
---|---|---|
.525 | eFG% | .572 |
10.4 | TOV% | 10.6 |
73.0 | RB% | 23.0 |
.196 | FT/FGA | .199 |
Analytics
DEN | Analytics | OKC |
---|---|---|
52 | Pythag Wins | 54 |
27 | Pythag Losses | 25 |
5.16 | Margin Of Victory | 6.37 |
121.2 | O Rtg | 121.9 |
115.7 | D Rtg | 115.4 |
94.5 | Pace | 97.6 |
.224 | FTr | .242 |
.351 | 3PAr | .383 |
.588 | TS% | .608 |
Betting Trends
DEN | Betting Trends | OKC |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-0-0 |
112.33 | Avg Score | 117 |
107 | Avg Opp Score | 109.67 |
AWAY | HOME | |
1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-0-0 |
116 | Avg Score | 114 |
126.33 | Avg Opp Score | 104 |
DEN | Betting Trends | OKC |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-1-0 |
113.8 | Avg Score | 113 |
114.6 | Avg Opp Score | 107.8 |
AWAY | HOME | |
1-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-1-0 |
109.6 | Avg Score | 109.2 |
120.8 | Avg Opp Score | 104.4 |
DEN | Betting Trends | OKC |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-6-0 |
5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
113.6 | Avg Score | 108 |
116 | Avg Opp Score | 117.1 |
AWAY | HOME | |
4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 6-4-0 |
4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 7-3-0 |
112.8 | Avg Score | 112.3 |
119.8 | Avg Opp Score | 109.8 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Nuggets vs Thunder Betting Pick
This game will be played at Paycom Center at 8:00 PM ET on Thursday, November 3, 2022.
Why Bet The Thunder:
✅ The Thunder have a better net rating than the Nuggets early in the season. This has been fueled primarily by the defense of the Thunder, which has done a nice job in spite of their obvious roster limitations. OKC is allowing 110.9 points per game, which puts them in the top half of the Western Conference in scoring defense. They will use that defense to keep this game close against the Nuggets.
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✅ Denver has some injury concerns in their backcourt that could come into play in this contest. Bones Hyland and Ish Smith are both questionable for this contest. Outside of Chet Holmgren, the Thunder are healthy coming into this game and should be able to hang with the guards of the Nuggets with the duo of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Lu Dort.
✅ The Oklahoma City Thunder are the number one team in the NBA against the spread so far during the 2022-23 season. They are 6-1 against the spread, exceeding the expectations of oddsmakers to this point in the year. As a home underdog, they will continue to do just that here.
Denver Nuggets
The Denver Nuggets come into Oklahoma City at 4-3, coming off of a loss in their last game. In that loss, they gave the Los Angeles Lakers their first win of the season. Here, the Nuggets look to avoid another embarrassing defeat at the hands of a lower-tier team in the Western Conference.
To get a win in this game, shutting down Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is going to be huge for the Nuggets. The Nuggets will always have an advantage on the interior against a team like the Thunder that lacks any sort of true big man play. But SGA has the ability to make up for that with his ability to score from all over the floor.
Oklahoma City Thunder
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been a pleasant surprise to start this NBA season. They have won four of their first seven games and are in the top-eight in the West early on. Whether or not that is sustainable remains to be seen, but the Thunder are aiming to keep things rolling early in the season with a win over Denver here.
How the Thunder defend Nikola Jokic will be the million dollar question for this contest. If they double, they run the risk of giving up open perimeter shots to other players. But with their current roster, they may not have a choice.