The Portland Trail Blazers (1-1) will be at home in Moda Center at the Rose Quarter when they take on the Denver Nuggets (1-1) in game three of the Western Conference Semifinals. Portland opened as a 4.5-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 215.5 points. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET on Friday, May 3, 2019, and it can be seen on ESPN.

Denver Nuggets vs. Portland Trail Blazers Odds Preview

In game two, these two teams combined to score 187 points, well under the projected point total of 219.5. The Trail Blazers won 97-90, covering as 4-point underdogs. Portland had a better effective field goal percentage (0.476 vs. 0.378). Denver, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (36.5 vs. 16.7). Jokic finished with 16 points and 14 rebounds.

Of Denver’s 91 games, 51 have finished under the projected point total, while 46 of Portland’s 89 games have finished over the O/U total. Both teams have solid straight up (SU) records (59-32 for Denver; 58-31 for Portland), but the Trail Blazers hold a slight advantage against the spread (ATS). Portland is 49-40 ATS, while the Nuggets are 46-45.

Denver Nuggets at Portland Trail Blazers Free Prediction

Free Prediction: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

The Nuggets rank fourth in points in the paint per game (51.9) while the Trail Blazers rank 15th (49.1).

Portland ranks fourth in rebounds per game (47.7) while Denver ranks 10th (46.2).

Portland ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (29.9) while Denver ranks 10th (30.9).

On the road, Denver is 18-26 ATS with 25 unders and 19 overs.

At home, Portland is 26-18 ATS with 25 overs and 19 unders.

Denver is 27-3 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Portland is 18-2.

The Trail Blazers are 55-25 when they reach the century mark, while the Nuggets are 54-22.

The Nuggets rank second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.3) while the Trail Blazers rank ninth (15.2).

Denver ranks second in assists per game (27.1) while Portland ranks 25th (22.6).

The Nuggets rank first in second chance points per game (15.5) while the Trail Blazers rank 21st in second chance points allowed per game (13.8).

Denver ranks fifth in fast break points allowed per game (11.9) while Portland ranks 17th (14.0).

Bettings Trends:

Portland is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.

Across its past five games, Denver is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.

The Trail Blazers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.6, down from 4.2 for the season.

During their last five games, the Nuggets have scored an average of 102.4 points per game (7.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 101.2 points per game (5.2 below their season average).