The Indiana Pacers (31-18) challenge the Dallas Mavericks (30-19) at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. The game can be seen on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, February 3, 2020.
Dallas Mavericks at Indiana Pacers Free Prediction
The Mavericks come in on a high note after easily covering the 4.5-point spread against the Atlanta Hawks in their last game, 123-100. The game’s combined points (223) came in under the O/U total of 236. The Mavericks held the Hawks to an effective field goal percentage of 0.462 (below the 0.516 mark opponents have averaged against Dallas this season) and had a turnover percentage of 8.2 (better than their season average of 10.8). With 27 points on 12-for-22 shooting, Jalen Brunson was the top scorer from either team.
In the Pacers’ last game, they fell to the New York Knicks, 92-85, despite being 11-point favorites. The total points for the game (177) came in well under the projected point total of 212.5. New York out-rebounded Indiana. The Knicks had more offensive rebounds (14 vs. four), defensive rebounds (43 vs. 30) and total rebounds (57 vs. 34). With 25 points on 10-for-15 shooting, Domantas Sabonis was Indiana’s high scorer.
After splitting two games last season, these teams will go head-to-head for the first time this year. In the most recent matchup, the Mavericks won 110-101. Dallas had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (23.8 vs. 15.8). Indiana, on the other hand, did a terrific job of converting from the free throw line (17-21; 81.0 percent).
Dallas comes into the game with records of 30-19 straight up (SU) and 29-20 against the spread (ATS). Of the Mavericks’ 49 games, 29 have finished over the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Indiana owns records of 31-18 SU and 26-21-2 ATS. Just over half of Pacers games have finished over the O/U total.
Indiana could put on a ball-control clinic in this meeting. Indiana ranks fifth in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.2 percent), while Dallas forces the fewest turnovers (11.4 percent).
Dallas Mavericks vs. Indiana Pacers Betting Pick
NBA Tip: ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Over
On the road, Dallas is 18-5 ATS with 14 overs and 9 unders.
At home, Indiana is 12-10-2 ATS with 12 overs and 12 unders.
Indiana is 9-2 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Dallas is 8-0.
In games where they score more than 100 points, the Pacers are 31-10 and the Mavericks are 30-17.
Dallas ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (41.0) while Indiana ranks 29th (27.3).
The Mavericks rank second in second chance points per game (14.9) while the Pacers rank 27th (11.7).
Indiana ranks sixth in fast break points allowed per game (12.1) while Dallas ranks 29th (16.3).
The Mavericks rank fourth in rebounds per game (47.5) while the Pacers rank 24th (42.6).
Indiana ranks 11th in points in the paint per game (48.7) while Dallas ranks 25th (45.2).
The Pacers rank 15th in points off turnovers per game (16.8) while the Mavericks rank 27th (15.1).
Indiana ranks fifth in assists per game (26.1) while Dallas ranks 16th (24.1).
The Pacers rank first in steals allowed per game (6.4) while the Mavericks rank eighth (7.0).
Dallas ranks second in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while Indiana ranks ninth (4.5).
Over its last five outings, Dallas is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Indiana is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Mavericks have been outscored by an average of 1.6 points in their last five games. On the season, Dallas has defeated opponents by an average of 6.2 points.
During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 114.0 points per game (4.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.4 points per game (1.7 above their season average).