A high-scoring game should be expected when the Washington Wizards (17-32) and the Dallas Mavericks (31-20) clash at Capital One Arena. The game begins at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, February 7, 2020.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Washington Wizards Betting Prediction
The Mavericks failed to cover as 3.5-point favorites in their 121-107 loss to the Memphis Grizzlies in their last game. The total points for the game (228) were just over the O/U total of 226.5. Memphis’ 0.596 effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Dallas, who had a mark of 0.452. The Grizzlies’ mark was above their season average of 0.536, while the Mavericks’ was below their season average of 0.545. Kristaps Porzingis was the top scorer from either team with 32 points on 10-for-20 shooting.
In the Wizards’ previous game, they lost to the Golden State Warriors, 125-117, despite being 6.5-point favorites. The combined points for the game (242) came in over the O/U total of 234.5. Golden State’s rebounding was their biggest advantage. The Warriors had 12 offensive rebounds and 44 total rebounds, while the Wizards had two and 35, respectively. With 43 points on 15-for-30 shooting, Bradley Beal was the game’s leading scorer.
This will be the second game of the season between these two squads. In the first, Luka Doncic scored a game-high 34 points and the Mavericks beat the Wizards 108-100 but were unable to cover as 9-point favorites. He also had nine rebounds. The game finished with a total of 208 points, which was 12.5 points below the projected point total of 220.5 points. Dallas was effective at getting to and converting from the charity stripe. The Mavericks made 27 of their 33 free throws (81.8 percent), while the Wizards were 15-18 (83.3 percent).
Dallas holds records of 31-20 straight up (SU) and 30-21 against the spread (ATS). Vegas tends to set the total low when the Mavericks are involved, as 31 of their 51 games have ended over the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Washington owns records of 17-32 SU and 25-24 ATS. Wizards games also have typically gone over the projected point total (59.2 percent).
This game should be a matchup of contrasting styles. Washington prefers a fast-breaking style of play (seventh in possessions per game), while Dallas is methodical (20th in possessions per game). Moreover, the Mavericks rank first in offensive efficiency (114.7), while the Wizards rank 30th in defensive efficiency (114.7).
Dallas Mavericks vs. Washington Wizards Free Pick
Prediction: ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Over
Betting Trends
Dallas is 19-5 ATS on the road with 15 overs and 9 unders.
Washington is 12-11 ATS at home with 12 overs, 10 unders and 1 push.
Washington is 3-0 when they allow less than 100 points, while Dallas is 8-0.
The Wizards are 15-31 when they score above 100 points, while the Mavericks are 31-18.
Dallas ranks first in second chance points per game (14.8) while Washington ranks 29th in second chance points allowed per game (14.7).
The Mavericks rank fourth in rebounds per game (47.4) while the Wizards rank last (42.4).
Washington ranks seventh in points off turnovers per game (17.8) while Dallas ranks 26th (14.9).
The Mavericks rank 10th in assists allowed per game (23.6) while the Wizards rank 28th (25.9).
Washington ranks 13th in fast break points allowed per game (12.7) while Dallas ranks last (16.4).
The Mavericks rank second in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while the Wizards rank 18th (5.2).
Dallas ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (41.2) while Washington ranks 17th (32.5).
The Wizards rank 16th in steals per game (7.5) while the Mavericks rank 28th (6.1).
Washington ranks 19th in points in the paint per game (47.3) while Dallas ranks 26th (44.5).
Over its last five outings, Dallas is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Washington is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over its last five games.
The Mavericks have been outscored by an average of 3.6 points in their last five games. For the season, Dallas has defeated opponents by an average of 5.9 points.
During their last five games, the Wizards have scored an average of 123.0 points per game (7.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 128.4 points per game (7.6 above their season average).
