The Dallas Mavericks (33-22) will have their hands full against the NBA’s top scoring defense when they clash against the Orlando Magic (24-31) at Amway Center. The game can be seen on Fox Sports – Southwest at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, February 21, 2020.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 220.5 points with Dallas opening as a 3.5-point favorite on the William Hill New Jersey Sports Betting App.
Dallas Mavericks at Orlando Magic Betting Prediction
The Mavericks will be looking for similar success after comfortably covering the 8.5-point spread against the Sacramento Kings in their last outing, 130-111. The game’s combined points (241) came in well over the O/U total of 226. Dallas’ effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Sacramento. The Mavericks had a rate of 0.665 (above their season average of 0.544), while the Kings posted a mark of 0.475 (below their season average of 0.529). Dallas received a boost from Luka Doncic, who was the top scorer from either team with 33 points on 10-for-18 shooting.
The last time the Magic took the floor, they defeated the Detroit Pistons, 116-112, but failed to cover as 6.5-point favorites. The game’s combined points (228) finished well over the O/U total of 209. Orlando’s turnover percentage was their largest strength over Detroit. The Magic had a rate of 10.4 (better than their season average of 11.0), while the Pistons posted a mark of 16.9 (above their season average of 13.3). With 22 points, 10 assists and five rebounds, Markelle Fultz had a good outing for Orlando.
This will be the second game of the season between these two squads. Nikola Vucevic put up 19 points, 11 rebounds and seven assists in the first game, in which the Magic lost 107-106 but covered as 7-point underdogs. The game finished with a total of 213 points, which was 5.5 points above the projected point total of 207.5 points. The Mavericks had a better turnover percentage (14.9 vs. 16.3) and had a better offensive rebounding percentage (26.1 vs. 24.4).
Dallas comes into the game with records of 33-22 straight up (SU) and 32-23 against the spread (ATS). Of the Mavericks’ 55 games, 35 have gone over the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Orlando is 24-31 SU and 23-28-4 ATS. In opposition of Dallas, games including the Magic have a slight tendency to finish under the total (54.5 percent).
Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. Tim Hardaway Jr. (21 points,4.2 assists) has been fantastic for the Mavericks while Aaron Gordon (18 points,8.8 rebounds,4.6 assists,1.2 steals) has made solid contributions to the Magic.
Half-court execution will be critical when two of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams face off. Orlando ranks 29th in possessions per game (99.5) and Dallas is 21st (101.0).
Dallas Mavericks vs. Orlando Magic Betting Pick
Pick: ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Over
Dallas is 20-6 ATS on the road with 17 overs and 9 unders.
Orlando is 10-16-2 ATS at home with 18 unders and 10 overs.
In games where they allow less than 100 points, Dallas is 8-0 and Orlando is 12-4.
The Magic are 20-12 when they reach 100 points, while the Mavericks are 33-20.
Orlando ranks third in fast break points allowed per game (11.6) while Dallas ranks 29th (16.6).
The Magic rank fourth in steals per game (8.5) while the Mavericks rank 28th (6.0).
Dallas ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (41.0) while Orlando ranks 20th (31.6).
The Magic rank first in second chance points allowed per game (11.4) while the Mavericks rank 19th (13.5).
Orlando ranks fifth in blocks per game (5.8) while Dallas ranks 20th (4.7).
The Mavericks rank fourth in rebounds per game (47.0) while the Magic rank 19th (44.5).
Orlando ranks fifth in points allowed in the paint per game (44.6) while Dallas ranks 19th (49.1).
The Magic rank 11th in points off turnovers per game (17.0) while the Mavericks rank 25th (14.8).
Over its last five outings, Dallas is 2-3 ATS with 5 overs.
Orlando is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs, 1 under and 1 push over its last five games.
The Mavericks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.2, down from 6.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Magic have scored an average of 109.8 points per game (5.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 114.0 points per game (8.6 above their season average).