The Golden State Warriors (9-32) will attempt to put an end to their eight-game losing streak when they meet the Dallas Mavericks (24-15) at Chase Center. The game will air on NBATV at 10:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 14, 2020.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 223 points with Dallas set as a 9-point favorite.
Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors Betting Prediction
The last time the Mavericks played, they easily covered the 2.5-point spread against the Philadelphia 76ers, 109-91. The total points for the game (200) were well under the O/U total of 222.5. The Mavericks had a free throw rate of 0.228 (above their season average of 0.209) and held the 76ers to an effective field goal percentage of 0.423 (below their season average of 0.533). With 19 points on 4-for-15 shooting, Luka Doncic led Dallas in scoring.
The Warriors got blown out by the Memphis Grizzlies in their last game, 122-102. They were unable to cover as 6.5-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (224) came in just under the O/U total of 225.5. Memphis won the rebounding battle. The Grizzlies had 18 offensive rebounds and 60 total rebounds, while the Warriors had 12 and 47, respectively. With 34 points on 12-for-24 shooting, D’Angelo Russell was the top scorer from either team.
The Mavericks have won both games against the Warriors this season, including a 20-point blowout in their last matchup. Dallas covered as a 10.5-point favorite and the game finished with a total of 262 points, which was 44.5 points above the projected point total of 217.5 points. The Mavericks knocked down 21 of their 21 free throws (100.0 percent) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.652 vs. 0.581). Doncic put up a triple-double in the victory, with 31 points, 15 assists and 12 rebounds.
Dallas comes into the contest with records of 24-15 straight up (SU) and 22-17 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has a tendency to place the total low when the Mavericks are playing, as 24 of their 39 games have ended over the total.
Meanwhile, Golden State is 9-32 SU and 19-22 ATS. Contrary to Dallas, Warriors games tend to go under the total (58.5 percent).
Dallas could have their way on the offensive side of the ball as their prolific offense faces off against one of the league’s worst defenses. The Mavericks rank first in offensive efficiency while Golden State ranks 22nd in defensive efficiency.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors Pick
Free Pick: ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under
On the road, Dallas is 13-4 ATS with 11 overs and 6 unders.
At home, Golden State is 9-10 ATS with 12 unders and 7 overs.
Dallas is 6-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Golden State is 4-2.
When scoring above 100 points, the Mavericks are 24-13 and the Warriors are 9-20.
Dallas ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (40.9) while Golden State ranks 28th (29.1).
The Warriors rank fourth in steals per game (8.5) while the Mavericks rank 27th (6.4).
Dallas ranks third in second chance points per game (14.7) while Golden State ranks 23rd in second chance points allowed per game (13.7).
The Mavericks average 47.6 rebounds per game, which ranks fourth in the league. The Warriors rank 23rd in rebounds allowed per game (46.8).
Dallas ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while Golden State ranks 19th (5.4).
The Warriors rank 10th in points off turnovers per game (17.6) while the Mavericks rank 26th (15.3).
Dallas ranks 10th in assists allowed per game (23.2) while Golden State ranks 26th (25.3).
The Warriors average 13.1 fast break points per game, which ranks 13th in the NBA. The Mavericks rank 28th in fast break points allowed per game (16.4).
Dallas ranks 24th in points in the paint per game (45.0) while Golden State ranks last (42.4).
Over its last five contests, Dallas is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Golden State is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over its last five games.
The Mavericks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.4, down from 6.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 100.4 points per game (4.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 112.0 points per game (0.9 below their season average).