It will be a battle between Central Division opponents when the Chicago Bulls (21-43) welcome the Cleveland Cavaliers (19-45) to the United Center. The game will air on NBC Sports Chicago at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 10, 2020.
Cleveland Cavaliers at Chicago Bulls ATS Prediction
In the Cavaliers’ last matchup, they edged the San Antonio Spurs, 132-129, as 4.5-point underdogs at BetRivers. The game’s total points (261) were well over the O/U total of 226.5. The Cavaliers held the Spurs to an offensive rebounding percentage of 11.5 (below their season average of 19.8) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.490 (below the 0.561 mark opponents have averaged against Cleveland this season). With 28 points on 11-for-16 shooting, Andre Drummond was the game’s high scorer.
The Bulls lost a close one to the Brooklyn Nets in their last contest, 110-107, but were able to cover as 6-point underdogs. The total points for the game (217) finished just under the projected point total of 219. Brooklyn was successful at getting and making free throws. The Nets made 35 of their 41 free throws (85.4 percent), while the Bulls were just 17-25 (68.0 percent). Chicago’s Coby White had 21 points, eight assists and six rebounds in the game.
Getting to the line could be hard to find for Chicago in this battle. The Bulls currently rank 28th in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.175, while Cleveland ranks third in FTA rate allowed (0.165). Furthermore, the Cavaliers rank 30th in turnover percentage (15.4 percent), while the Bulls rank first in opponents’ turnover percentage (17.3 percent).
Cleveland comes into the contest with records of 19-45 straight up (SU) and 29-32-3 against the spread (ATS). Of the Cavaliers’ 64 games, 35 have finished over the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Chicago owns records of 21-43 SU and 28-35-1 ATS. A little over half of Bulls games have finished over the total.
Both teams have had a couple of players trending in the right direction over their last five games. For the Cavaliers it’s been Kevin Love (21 points,9.6 rebounds,3.8 assists) and Collin Sexton (29 points,4.2 assists,1.4 steals), while White (26 points,4.6 assists) and Thaddeus Young (11 points,5.6 rebounds,3.4 assists,2.8 steals) have been stellar for the Bulls.
The Bulls have won two out of three against the Cavaliers this season, including a 118-106 victory in their last matchup. Chicago covered as a 1-point underdog and the game finished with a total of 224 points, which was 13.5 points above the projected point total of 210.5 points. The Bulls had a much better turnover percentage (8.6 vs. 19.1) and had a much better free throw rate (0.212 vs. 0.107). Zach LaVine put up a double-double in the victory with 44 points and 10 rebounds.
Cavaliers vs. Bulls Betting Pick
NBA Pick: ATS Winner – Bulls, O/U – Over
Cleveland is 15-12-1 ATS on the road with 15 overs and 13 unders.
Chicago is 14-18-1 ATS at home with 17 overs and 16 unders.
In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Chicago and Cleveland are both 5-3.
The Cavaliers are 18-32 when they reach the century mark, while the Bulls are 21-28.
Chicago averages 21.2 points off turnovers per game, which ranks first in the league. Cleveland ranks last in points off turnovers allowed per game (20.0).
The Bulls rank first in steals per game (10.1) while the Cavaliers rank 29th in steals allowed per game (9.5).
Chicago averages 49.4 points in the paint per game, which ranks eighth in the league. Cleveland ranks 29th in points allowed in the paint per game (53.6).
The Bulls rank seventh in fast break points per game (14.9) while the Cavaliers rank 26th (10.5).
Cleveland ranks 19th in rebounds per game (44.4) while Chicago ranks 29th (41.8).
The Bulls average 23.2 assists per game, which ranks 23rd in the NBA. The Cavaliers rank 29th in assists allowed per game (26.2).
Chicago ranks fourth in three pointers allowed per game (31.8) while Cleveland ranks ninth (33.0).
The Cavaliers rank 10th in second chance points per game (13.5) while the Bulls rank 13th in second chance points allowed per game (12.7).
Chicago ranks 27th in blocks per game (4.0) while Cleveland ranks 29th (3.2).
Over its last five contests, Cleveland is 2-2-1 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Chicago is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Cavaliers’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.6, down from 7.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Bulls have scored an average of 108.2 points per game (1.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.0 points per game (3.0 above their season average).