The Portland Trail Blazers (16-24) take on the Charlotte Hornets (15-27) at Moda Center at the Rose Quarter. The game begins at 10 p.m. ET on Monday, January 13, 2020.
Charlotte Hornets vs. Portland Trail Blazers Free Prediction
Although the Hornets were beaten by the Phoenix Suns in their last contest, 100-92, they did cover as 12.5-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (192) were well under the projected point total of 209.5. Phoenix’s 29.3 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over Charlotte, who had a rate of 17.0. The Suns’ mark was above their season average of 20.9, while the Hornets’ was below their season average of 23.9. Charlotte’s Devonte’ Graham had a solid game, finishing with 22 points and eight assists.
In the Trail Blazers’ previous matchup, they were blown out by the Milwaukee Bucks, 122-101. They were not able to cover as 7.5-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (223) came in under the O/U total of 232.5. Milwaukee’s offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over Portland. The Bucks had a rate of 20.0 (below their season average of 21.2), while the Trail Blazers posted a mark of 13.8 (below their season average of 21.9). Portland’s Carmelo Anthony contributed 19 points and 11 rebounds in the game.
After the Trail Blazers won both games against the Hornets last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last game, Portland won 118-108. Portland had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (29.5 vs. 10.3). Charlotte, meanwhile, did a terrific job of converting from the free throw line (20-23; 87.0 percent).
Charlotte comes into the contest with records of 15-27 straight up (SU) and 19-20-2 against the spread (ATS). Of the Hornets’ 41 games that accepted bets, 22 have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, Portland owns records of 16-24 SU and 15-23-2 ATS. In opposition of Charlotte, just over half of Trail Blazers games have finished under the O/U total.
Points at the line might be scarce for Portland in this contest. The Trail Blazers rank 19th in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.193, while Charlotte ranks second in FTA rate allowed (0.159).
Charlotte Hornets vs. Portland Trail Blazers ATS Pick
Free NBA Pick: ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Over
Betting Trends
On the road, Charlotte is 11-10 ATS with 13 overs and 8 unders.
At home, Portland is 6-11-1 ATS with 10 overs and 8 unders.
In contests where they hold opponents below 100 points, Portland is 4-0 and Charlotte is 3-0.
In games where they reach 100 points, the Hornets are 13-15 and the Trail Blazers are 16-18.
Portland ranks second in blocks per game (6.5) while Charlotte ranks 25th (4.3).
The Trail Blazers rank 12th in assists allowed per game (23.6) while the Hornets rank 29th (27.1).
Portland ranks third in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.5) while Charlotte ranks 19th (17.6).
The Hornets rank 16th in points in the paint per game (47.3) while the Trail Blazers rank 29th (43.0).
Charlotte ranks third in fast break points allowed per game (11.9) while Portland ranks 15th (13.2).
The Hornets rank 17th in rebounds allowed per game (46.1) while the Trail Blazers rank 29th (48.5).
Charlotte averages 34.5 three pointers per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. Portland ranks 21st in three pointers allowed per game (34.4).
The Hornets rank 19th in second chance points per game (12.6) while the Trail Blazers rank last in second chance points allowed per game (15.7).
Charlotte ranks 24th in steals per game (6.7) while Portland ranks 28th (6.0).
In its last five outings, Charlotte is 2-2-1 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Portland is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over its last five games.
The Hornets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 7.0, up from 6.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 107.4 points per game (4.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 112.4 points per game (1.4 below their season average).
