The Phoenix Suns (5-3) square off against the Brooklyn Nets (4-4) at Talking Stick Resort Arena. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 10, 2019, and will air on YES Network.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 233 points with Phoenix set as a 3-point favorite.
Brooklyn Nets vs. Phoenix Suns Betting Prediction
In the Nets’ last matchup, they beat the Portland Trail Blazers, 119-115, as 3.5-point underdogs. The total points for the game (234) were under the O/U total of 240.5. The Nets had a solid offensive rebounding percentage of 31.4 (above their season average of 25.7) and had a turnover percentage of 7.4 (better than their season average of 15.6). Brooklyn was led by Spencer Dinwiddie, who was the team’s high scorer with 34 points on 11-for-18 shooting.
The Suns fell to the Miami Heat in their last contest, 124-108, despite being 1.5-point favorites. The combined points for the game (232) finished over the O/U total of 220.5. Miami’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Phoenix. The Heat had a rate of 0.640 (above their season average of 0.539), while the Suns posted a mark of 0.506. With 11 points, 11 rebounds and six assists, Ricky Rubio had a solid game for Phoenix.
The Nets won both meetings against the Suns last season. In the most recent game, Brooklyn won 111-103. The Nets had a better free throw rate (0.247 vs. 0.157) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (31.1 vs. 22.2).
Brooklyn holds records of 4-4 straight up (SU) and 3-5 against the spread (ATS). Of the Nets’ eight games, four have finished over, three have finished under and one has pushed.
Meanwhile, Phoenix is 5-3 SU and 7-1 ATS. Vegas has a tendency to place the total high when the Suns are involved, as 62.5 percent of their games have finished under the total.
It could be an error-filled game for the Brooklyn offense. Dating back to the 2018-19 season, Brooklyn ranks 18th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.0 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Phoenix has forced the fifth-most turnovers in the league (14.9 percent).
Brooklyn Nets vs. Phoenix Suns Betting Pick
Prediction: Nets +3
NBA Betting Trends
Phoenix is 6-2 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Brooklyn is 13-1.
In games where they score above 100 points, the Nets are 46-36 and the Suns are 23-43.
Brooklyn ranks sixth in rebounds per game (46.5) while Phoenix ranks last (40.6).
The Suns rank third in steals per game (8.9) while the Nets rank 23rd (6.7).
Brooklyn ranks third in fast break points allowed per game (11.8) while Phoenix ranks 23rd (15.6).
The Nets average 13.9 second chance points per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. The Suns rank 26th in second chance points allowed per game (15.2).
Phoenix averages 49.8 points in the paint per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. Brooklyn ranks 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game (51.5).
The Suns average 18.5 points off turnovers per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Nets rank 19th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.6).
Phoenix ranks 15th in blocks per game (5.0) while Brooklyn ranks 20th in blocks allowed per game (5.3).
The Suns rank third in three pointers allowed per game (29.8) while the Nets rank seventh (30.4).
