The Brooklyn Nets (18-25) will attempt to snap their five-game losing streak when they go head-to-head with the Detroit Pistons (17-29) at Little Caesars Arena. The game can be seen on YES Network at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 25, 2020.
Brooklyn is a 1-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 225.5 points at William Hill Sportsbook.
Brooklyn Nets vs. Detroit Pistons Free Prediction
In the Nets’ last game, they were beaten by the Los Angeles Lakers, 128-113, and were not able to cover as 5.5-point underdogs. The total points for the game (241) came in over the projected point total of 230. Los Angeles’ 25.0 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over Brooklyn, who had a rate of 16.3. The Lakers’ mark was above their season average of 24.6, while the Nets’ was below their season average of 23.0. Brooklyn’s Spencer Dinwiddie played well, recording seven points, 13 assists and seven rebounds.
The Pistons lost to the Memphis Grizzlies in their last game, 125-112. They were not able to cover as 2-point underdogs. The total points for the game (237) finished well over the projected point total of 222. Memphis made good use of their 31 trips to the free throw line, converting on 28 of them (90.3 percent). Detroit, on the other hand, was 23-31 (74.2 percent). With 22 points on 10-for-21 shooting, Derrick Rose led Detroit in scoring.
This will be the second game of the season between these two squads. In the first, Andre Drummond scored a game-high 25 points and the Pistons, who were 4-point underdogs, defeated the Nets 113-109. He also had 20 rebounds and six assists. The game finished with a total of 222 points, hitting the projected point total. Getting to the charity stripe was one of Detroit’s largest strengths. They made 29 trips to the line, while Brooklyn went 17 times.
Brooklyn holds records of 18-25 straight up (SU) and 18-24-1 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Nets games, with 21 overs compared to 20 unders.
Meanwhile, Detroit owns records of 17-29 SU and 17-26-2 ATS. Of the Pistons’ 45 games with betting action, 27 have finished over the total.
Contrasting styles will be on display in this matchup. Brooklyn prefers to play quickly (sixth in possessions per game), while Detroit is methodical (20th in possessions per game).
Brooklyn Nets vs. Detroit Pistons ATS Pick
Free Pick: ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Over
Betting Trends
Brooklyn is 7-12-1 ATS on the road with 10 overs, 9 unders and 1 push.
At home, Detroit is 9-13 ATS with 15 overs, 6 unders and 1 push.
Brooklyn is 4-1 when they allow less than 100 points, while Detroit is 4-0.
When scoring above 100 points, the Nets are 18-19 and the Pistons are 16-21.
Brooklyn ranks second in rebounds per game (48.4) while Detroit ranks last (42.2).
The Nets average 50.3 points in the paint per game, which ranks fourth in the league. The Pistons rank 25th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.5).
Detroit ranks second in three pointers allowed per game (30.0) while Brooklyn ranks 20th (34.8).
The Nets rank third in assists allowed per game (22.0) while the Pistons rank 19th (24.7).
Detroit ranks 13th in steals per game (7.8) while Brooklyn ranks 25th (6.9).
The Nets rank eighth in second chance points per game (13.7) while the Pistons rank 18th in second chance points allowed per game (13.3).
Detroit ranks 17th in blocks per game (4.8) while Brooklyn ranks 24th in blocks allowed per game (5.6).
The Pistons rank 15th in points off turnovers per game (16.8) while the Nets rank 21st in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.0).
Brooklyn ranks 12th in fast break points per game (13.3) while Detroit ranks 14th in fast break points allowed per game (12.8).
Over its last five contests, Brooklyn is 0-5 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Detroit is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over its last five games.
The Nets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 12.6, up from 2.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 118.2 points per game (8.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.6 points per game (2.4 below their season average).
