The Atlanta Hawks (5-16) square off with the Brooklyn Nets (10-10) at State Farm Arena. The game will air on YES Network at 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 4, 2019.
Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks ATS Prediction
Although the Nets were defeated by the Miami Heat in their last matchup, 109-106, they were able to cover as 4.5-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (215) hit the projected point total. Miami made good use of their 28 trips to the charity stripe, converting on 23 of them (82.1 percent). Brooklyn, on the other hand, was 12-16 (75.0 percent). Spencer Dinwiddie was the game’s leading scorer with 29 points on 10-for-21 shooting.
In the Hawks’ last matchup, they easily got past the Golden State Warriors, 104-79, easily covering as 6.5-point favorites. The total points for the game (183) finished well under the O/U total of 222.5. The Hawks forced 23 turnovers, while the Warriors had a free throw rate of 0.120 (below their season average of 0.228). Trae Young was the top scorer from either team with 24 points on 10-for-19 shooting from the field.
After the Nets won all three matchups against the Hawks last season, these teams will battle for the first time this year. In the last matchup, Brooklyn won 114-112. Getting to the free throw line was one of Brooklyn’s biggest strengths. They made 54 trips to the line, while Atlanta went just 32 times.
Brooklyn comes into the contest with records of 10-10 straight up (SU) and 10-9-1 against the spread (ATS). Games involving the Nets have finished over the total 45.0 percent of the time.
Meanwhile, Atlanta owns records of 5-16 SU and 10-11 ATS. A little over half of Hawks games have finished over the total.
The offensive glass should be a huge edge for Atlanta in this battle. The Hawks are among the NBA’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking eighth in offensive rebounding percentage at 23.5 percent. Meanwhile, Brooklyn ranks 20th in the NBA at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 76.3 percent.
Brooklyn Nets vs. Atlanta Hawks Betting Pick
Free Prediction: ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Under
Brooklyn is 4-5-1 ATS on the road with 5 overs, 4 unders and 1 push.
At home, Atlanta is 6-4 ATS with 6 unders and 4 overs.
Atlanta and Brooklyn are both 2-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points.
The Hawks are 5-13 when they score more than 100 points, while the Nets are 10-8.
Atlanta ranks fourth in steals per game (8.8) while Brooklyn ranks 24th (6.8).
The Nets rank eighth in rebounds per game (46.8) while the Hawks rank 27th (42.1).
Brooklyn averages 5.2 blocks per game, which ranks 12th in the league. Atlanta ranks last in blocks allowed per game (7.7).
The Nets rank 10th in second chance points per game (13.9) while the Hawks rank 26th in second chance points allowed per game (14.7).
Brooklyn ranks sixth in three pointers attempted per game (38.0) while Atlanta ranks 21st in three pointers allowed per game (35.0).
The Nets rank fourth in points in the paint per game (50.2) while the Hawks rank 19th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.5).
Brooklyn ranks third in assists allowed per game (21.6) while Atlanta ranks 15th (24.2).
The Nets average 16.5 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 20th in the NBA. The Hawks rank 29th in points off turnovers allowed per game (19.9).
Brooklyn ranks 17th in fast break points per game (12.9) while Atlanta ranks 18th in fast break points allowed per game (13.6).
Over its last five contests, Brooklyn is 3-2 ATS with 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push.
Atlanta is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Nets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.0, down from 1.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 106.8 points per game (0.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 115.6 points per game (1.6 below their season average).