Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110) at Caesars sportsbook.
Pros
- Out of all players in the NBA, Bradley Beal comes in at the 89th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 33.1 minutes per game this year.
- The matchup against the Thunder is a strong one for three-point shots; opposing starting SGs have posted the 2nd-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (44.1%).
- The 9th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
- The Phoenix Suns are expected to see a spike in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
- The Suns have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Cons
- In contrast to last season’s 17.6 clip, Bradley Beal’s field goal attempts have decreased this season to 13.9 per game.
- Bradley Beal has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (85th percentile).
- The Suns rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing on the road in regard to 3-point attempts.
- Compared to last year’s 3.8 rate, Bradley Beal’s free throws drained have tailed off this year to 2.2 per game.
- Over the last 20 games, the opposition’s starting SGs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Thunder, struggling to get to the charity stripe.
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Prop Projection: Bradley Beal is projected for 17.6 Points