Against The Spread Betting Information, News, Sportsbook Reviews – ATS.io
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NBA Picks & Betting News

Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors NBA Finals Game 3 – Pick & Prediction

June 8th, 2022 By: TJ Calkins

Celtics vs Warriors Game 3

Jun 27, 2022 03:06 AM
Matchup Odds Trends Make A Pick

The Celtics vs Warriors NBA Finals playoff series shifts to Boston for Game 3. The teams split the pair on the west coast, meaning the Celtics have now claimed home court advantage for the remainder of the series.

We have seen a shift in the series odds after two games. Leading into the series, the Warriors were the favored team. Their price was set at -150 with the comeback on the Celtics set at +130. Current odds now have the Celtics favored at -115, with the come back on the Warriors set at -105.

If you think there is still value on a series wager, you can check out the full series breakdown here.

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Celtics vs Warriors Finals Game 3 will be played at the TD Garden at 900PM EST on June 8th, 2022.

Celtics vs Warriors Game 3 Betting Pick

PIck: Celtics -3.5

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Why Bet The Celtics

✅ The shift of the series to Boston should not be understated. The Warriors have been lethal at home in these playoffs, but not so on the road. Despite an easier path to the Finals, they have dropped at least one road game in all three series so far. The Warriors have had it work in their favor that the playoffs have played eleven home games to just seven road games. Their Game 1 home loss to the Celtics marked their first home loss in these playoffs, with their record sitting at 10-1. It is a completely different story on the road, where they are just 3-4. This was an expected carry over from the regular season, where they were 18 games better at home than on the road.

The Last Game Is Not This Game

✅ The Game 2 result should not be the expectation in the series going forward. The Warriors won convincingly, but that will be the last instance in these Finals where they will play consecutive home games. It was not surprising to see them bounce back at home after a borderline embarrassing finish to Game 1. It was apparent in Game 2 the Warriors had emotions high. Draymond Green is generally the measuring stick, and he did what he could to get thrown out of that game. A Game 2 loss for the Warriors would have essentially ended the series, so the league was in no hurry for an ejection. That should not be the expectation in Game 3. The Warriors will not have the same sense of urgency, nor as much league protection in what no longer amounts to a must-win game.

Curry Will Not Be Quite The Same On The Road

✅ The Warriors have been completely reliant on Steph Curry for scoring thus far in this series. He has averaged 31.5 points in the two home games against the Celtics. That will be an issue on the road, as he averages considerably less in these playoffs, 24.9 points per game. What’s worse, is that figure shrinks to just 23.2 points per game since the first round series against the Nuggets. With an extra day off and three days in between games, the expectation should be better health from Marcus Smart. That means a more difficult time for Curry, and scoring issues for the Warriors. It should be noted this series has been a struggle for Klay Thompson. That will continue as Jaylen Brown is a terrible individual matchup for him. We will also see Al Horford have a more mentally competent game than the one he played in Game 2. Take the Celtics -3.5 to regain the lead in the series.

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