The Portland Trail Blazers (3-6) go head-to-head with the Atlanta Hawks (3-5) at Moda Center at the Rose Quarter. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 10, 2019, and will air on Fox Sports – Southeast.
Portland opened as an 8.5-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 227.5 points.
Atlanta Hawks at Portland Trail Blazers ATS Prediction
In the Hawks’ last contest, they were topped by the Sacramento Kings, 121-109, and were not able to cover as 2.5-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (230) came in over the projected point total of 226. One of Sacramento’s largest strengths was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 19-22 (86.4 percent), while the Hawks were just 8-14 (57.1 percent). Trae Young was the top scorer from either team with 30 points on 12-for-22 shooting.
The Trail Blazers fell to the Brooklyn Nets in their last contest, 119-115, despite being 3.5-point favorites. The game’s combined points (234) came in under the O/U total of 240.5. Brooklyn’s 31.4 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over Portland, who had a mark of 27.1. The Nets’ mark was above their season average of 25.7. With 60 points on 19-for-33 shooting, Damian Lillard was the game’s leading scorer.
The Trail Blazers won both games against the Hawks last season. In the last matchup, Portland won 118-98. The Trail Blazers had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (23.3 vs. 15.1) and had a better free throw rate (0.198 vs. 0.138).
Atlanta holds records of 3-5 straight up (SU) and 4-4 against the spread (ATS). Of the Hawks’ eight games, seven have gone under the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Portland is 3-6 SU and 4-4-1 ATS. Of the Trail Blazers’ nine games, four have finished over the projected point total.
Portland could dominate on the offensive side of the ball as their high-octane offense goes up against one of the worst defenses in the league. The Trail Blazers rank third in offensive efficiency, while Atlanta ranks 25th in defensive efficiency since the 2018-19 season.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Portland Trail Blazers Pick
Prediction: Hawks+8.5
NBA Betting Trends
When holding opponents under 100 points, Portland is 20-2 and Atlanta is 4-2.
The Trail Blazers are 61-34 when they score more than 100 points, while the Hawks are 31-45.
Portland ranks fourth in three pointers allowed per game (30.0) while Atlanta ranks 25th (34.4).
The Trail Blazers rank seventh in assists allowed per game (23.4) while the Hawks rank 27th (26.4).
Portland ranks sixth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.3) while Atlanta ranks 25th (20.9).
The Trail Blazers average 14.8 second chance points per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. The Hawks rank 23rd in second chance points allowed per game (14.5).
Portland ranks 12th in steals allowed per game (7.4) while Atlanta ranks last (9.8).
The Trail Blazers average 5.1 blocks per game, which ranks 12th in the league. The Hawks rank 25th in blocks allowed per game (5.7).
Atlanta ranks fifth in points in the paint per game (51.3) while Portland ranks 18th (48.1).
The Trail Blazers rank 15th in fast break points allowed per game (13.8) while the Hawks rank 25th (16.0).
Portland averages 47.4 rebounds per game, which ranks fourth in the league. Atlanta ranks 14th in rebounds allowed per game (45.8).
