The Orlando Magic (22-31) welcome the Atlanta Hawks (15-39) to Amway Center as they attempt to end their five-game home losing streak. The game can be seen on Fox SportsNet Florida at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, February 10, 2020.
Atlanta Hawks at Orlando Magic Free Prediction
Although the Hawks topped the New York Knicks in their last matchup, 140-135, they were not able to cover as 12.5-point favorites. The game’s combined points (275) were well over the projected point total of 225. Atlanta made good use of their 31 trips to the charity stripe, making 28 of them (90.3 percent). New York, on the other hand, was 18-25 (72.0 percent). Atlanta was led by Trae Young, who was the top scorer from either team with 48 points on 13-for-30 shooting.
The last time the Magic were in action, they were beaten by the Milwaukee Bucks, 111-95. They were not able to cover as 10.5-point underdogs. The total points for the game (206) came in well under the projected point total of 226.5. Milwaukee’s offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over Orlando. The Bucks had a rate of 21.7 (above their season average of 20.9), while the Magic posted a mark of 16.1 (below their season average of 22.1). Orlando’s Nikola Vucevic had a good game, leading the team in scoring with 21 points on 10-for-20 shooting.
The Hawks have emerged victorious in both contests against the Magic this year, including a 101-93 victory in their last matchup. Atlanta covered as an 11-point underdog and the game finished with a total of 194 points, which was 15 points below the projected point total of 209 points. The Hawks had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (27.5 vs. 21.2) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.537 vs. 0.444). In the loss, Vucevic led all scorers with 27 points.
Atlanta comes into the contest with records of 15-39 straight up (SU) and 25-28 against the spread (ATS). Of the Hawks’ 53 games that accepted bets, 30 have gone over the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Orlando is 22-31 SU and 22-27-4 ATS. Unlike Atlanta, games including the Magic tend to go under the total (56.6 percent).
Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. John Collins (24 points,12.8 rebounds) has been stellar for the Hawks while Aaron Gordon (18 points,7.6 rebounds,1.4 steals) has contributed greatly to the Magic.
It will be a matchup of opposite tempos as the fast-breaking Hawks (ranked second in the league in possessions per game) will look to push the more half-court-oriented Magic (29th in possessions per game).
Atlanta Hawks vs. Orlando Magic Pick
Free Pick: ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Under
On the road, Atlanta is 10-18 ATS with 17 overs and 11 unders.
At home, Orlando is 9-15-2 ATS with 18 unders and 8 overs.
In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Atlanta is 4-0 and Orlando is 12-4.
The Magic are 18-12 when they reach 100 points, while the Hawks are 15-32.
Orlando ranks first in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.0) while Atlanta ranks 28th (19.8).
The Magic rank second in second chance points allowed per game (11.5) while the Hawks rank 26th (14.6).
Orlando averages 5.8 blocks per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. Atlanta ranks 28th in blocks allowed per game (6.3).
The Hawks rank fourth in points in the paint per game (50.4) while the Magic rank 27th (44.3).
Orlando ranks sixth in steals per game (8.4) while Atlanta ranks 28th in steals allowed per game (9.0).
The Magic rank fourth in fast break points allowed per game (11.7) while the Hawks rank 24th (14.4).
Orlando ranks 19th in rebounds per game (44.5) while Atlanta ranks 26th in rebounds allowed per game (46.9).
Over its last five contests, Atlanta is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Orlando is 1-4 ATS with 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push over its last five games.
The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.8, down from 8.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Magic have scored an average of 99.8 points per game (3.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.8 points per game (1.9 above their season average).