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January 26th, 2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA ATS Pick 1/25/23

Chase Ruttig Chase Ruttig

One of Wednesday’s games to watch on the NBA betting slate is a matchup between the Atlanta Hawks and host Oklahoma City Thunder. After a recent run of strong play, the Thunder have a chance to reach .500 for the first time since November with a win to sweep the season series over the Hawks. Here, we give you our NBA predictions for Hawks vs Thunder.

NBA betting odds for January 25 has the Thunder opening as -1 favorites at home to the Hawks. The opening total is set at 236.5 points.

Hawks vs Thunder Betting Pick

ℹ️ The Pick: Thunder -1
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This game will be played at Paycom Center at 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, January 25, 2023.

Why Bet the Thunder:

✅ The Thunder are one of the better teams in the league over the month of January, winning five of their last six games.

✅ Atlanta is developing a turnover problem of late, giving up 34 over the last two games. The Thunder forced the Hawks into 18 turnovers in their first game this season.

✅ OKC already has a win over the Hawks in Atlanta earlier this season, earning a 121-114 road victory back on December 5.

The Pick: Thunder -1

DraftKings Pick
Bet Now

NBA

Jan 25, 2023 08:00 PM

Atlanta Hawks

VS

Oklahoma City Thunder

Matchup Odds Trends

Spread Pick Consensus

-1.0/-110
BetMGM
+1.0/-110

39% ATL

OKC 61%

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-118
DraftKings
-102

60% ATL

OKC 40%

Total Pick Consensus

238.5/-110
BetMGM
238.5/-110

35% UN

OV 65%

Team Stats Per Game

Offense/Defense

ATL Team Stats Per Game OKC
20Games20
43.9FG39.1
93.1FGA89.6
.471FG%.437
13.83Pt-FG13.3
37.33Pt-FGA37.9
.3703Pt%.351
30.12Pt-FG25.8
55.92Pt-FGA51.7
.5382Pt%.500
21.2FT19.8
25.5FTA25.6
.831FT%.775
13.0ORB13.9
31.5DRB32.6
44.5TRB46.5
25.4AST26.2
9.1STL7.0
4.5BLK5.4
14.3TOV16.3
18.5PF19.8
122.7PTS111.3

Defense/Offense

ATL Team Stats Per Game OKC
20Games20
45.7FG43.1
91.6FGA88.2
.499FG%.488
13.63Pt-FG13.0
36.23Pt-FGA32.8
.3763Pt%.396
32.12Pt-FG30.1
55.42Pt-FGA55.4
.5792Pt%.543
17.4FT19.7
21.6FTA23.2
.803FT%.849
11.8ORB8.1
32.4DRB33.1
44.2TRB41.2
28.5AST25.4
8.1STL8.3
5.7BLK6.1
16.1TOV13.2
20.3PF20.3
122.4PTS118.8

Team Stats Per 100 Poss

Offense/Defense

ATL Team Stats Per 100 Poss OKC
20Games20
42.7FG38.9
90.7FGA89.1
.471FG%.437
13.43Pt-FG13.2
36.33Pt-FGA37.7
.3703Pt%.351
29.32Pt-FG25.7
54.42Pt-FGA51.4
.5382Pt%.500
20.6FT19.7
24.8FTA25.4
.831FT%.775
12.6ORB13.8
30.7DRB32.4
43.3TRB46.2
24.7AST26.1
8.9STL6.9
4.3BLK5.3
13.9TOV16.2
18.0PF19.6
119.4PTS110.7

Defense/Offense

ATL Team Stats Per 100 Poss OKC
20Games20
44.5FG42.8
89.2FGA87.7
.499FG%.488
13.23Pt-FG12.9
35.33Pt-FGA32.6
.3763Pt%.396
31.32Pt-FG29.9
54.02Pt-FGA55.1
.5792Pt%.543
16.9FT19.6
21.0FTA23.1
.803FT%.849
11.5ORB8.1
31.5DRB32.9
43.0TRB41.0
27.8AST25.3
7.8STL8.3
5.5BLK6.0
15.6TOV13.1
19.8PF20.1
119.2PTS118.2

Four Factors

Offense/Defense

ATL Four Factors OKC
.545eFG%.511
12.0TOV%13.9
28.6RB%70.5
.227FT/FGA.221

Defense/Offense

ATL Four Factors OKC
.573eFG%.562
13.7TOV%11.8
72.7RB%19.9
.189FT/FGA.223

Analytics

ATL Analytics OKC
10Pythag Wins14
10Pythag Losses6
0.30Margin Of Victory7.50
119.4O Rtg118.2
119.2D Rtg110.7
102.2Pace100.0
.273FTr.263
.4003PAr.372
.588TS%.604
  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
ATL
OKC
ATL
OKC
Consensus
+1.0 -110
-1.0 -110
-1.0 -110
+1.0 -110
Draftkings

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-1.0 -110
+1.0 -110
-1.0 -110
+1.0 -110
FanDuel

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+1.0 -112
-1.0 -110
-1.0 -112
+1.0 -108
BetRivers

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+1.0 -110
-1.0 -106
-1.0 -110
+1.0 -110
Caesars

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+1.0 -110
-1.0 -110
-1.0 -110
+1.0 -110
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—-

+1.0 -110
-1.0 -110
-1.5 -110
+1.5 -110
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+1.5 -110
-1.5 -105
-1.5 -110
+1.5 -110
Open
Current
Book
ATL
OKC
ATL
OKC
Consensus
-102
-116
-118
-102
Draftkings

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-115
-105
-120
+100
FanDuel

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-102
-116
-118
+100
BetRivers

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-108
-110
-115
-104
Caesars

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-105
-115
-120
+100
PointsBet

—-

-105
-115
-125
+105
BetMGM

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+100
-120
-120
+100
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
Consensus
236.5 -110
236.5 -110
238.5 -110
238.5 -112
Draftkings

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236.5 -110
236.5 -110
238.0 -110
238.0 -110
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236.5 -110
236.5 -110
238.5 -110
238.5 -110
BetRivers

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237.0 -108
237.0 -113
238.5 -109
238.5 -112
Caesars

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237.5 -110
237.5 -110
238.0 -110
238.0 -110
PointsBet

—-

236.5 -110
236.5 -110
238.5 -110
238.5 -110
BetMGM

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236.5 -110
236.5 -110
237.5 -115
237.5 -105

Betting Trends

Last 3 Last 5 Last 10
ATL Betting Trends OKC
OVERALLOVERALL
1-2-0Win/Loss/Tie2-1-0
1-2-0ATS W/L/P3-0-0
119Avg Score113.33
119Avg Opp Score107.67
AWAYHOME
2-1-0Win/Loss/Tie3-0-0
2-1-0ATS W/L/P3-0-0
114.67Avg Score124.33
112Avg Opp Score108.33
ATL Betting Trends OKC
OVERALLOVERALL
3-2-0Win/Loss/Tie4-1-0
3-2-0ATS W/L/P5-0-0
121.6Avg Score115.2
118.4Avg Opp Score107
AWAYHOME
4-1-0Win/Loss/Tie4-1-0
3-2-0ATS W/L/P4-1-0
113.8Avg Score123.8
111Avg Opp Score111.4
ATL Betting Trends OKC
OVERALLOVERALL
6-4-0Win/Loss/Tie7-3-0
5-5-0ATS W/L/P9-1-0
116.6Avg Score118.2
115.8Avg Opp Score110.6
AWAYHOME
6-4-0Win/Loss/Tie8-2-0
5-5-0ATS W/L/P8-2-0
118.3Avg Score121.3
118Avg Opp Score112.7

Head to Head

DATE TM LN ML 1st 2nd 3rd 4th OT SC
12/05/22
OKC
ATL
236.5
-6.0
+200
-245
27
29
27
30
30
29
37
26

121
114
03/30/22
ATL
OKC
228.5
13.0
-1033
+660
42
24
43
34
30
31
21
29

136
118
11/22/21
OKC
ATL
213.0
-13.5
+700
-1126
27
32
33
34
11
27
30
20

101
113
03/18/21
OKC
ATL
223.5
-8.5
+288
-369
21
31
20
30
26
30
26
25

93
116
02/26/21
ATL
OKC
227.0
5.5
-219
+179
33
31
22
32
25
33
29
22

109
118
01/24/20
ATL
OKC
231.5
-8.5
+295
-376
30
33
28
33
32
38
21
36

111
140
01/15/19
OKC
ATL
235.0
10.5
-475
+420
29
25
30
45
41
27
26
45

126
142
11/30/18
ATL
OKC
230.0
-13.0
+800
-1000
26
28
20
38
30
25
33
33

109
124
03/13/18
OKC
ATL
216.5
6.0
-240
+220
31
28
23
38
36
22
29
19

119
107
12/22/17
ATL
OKC
204.0
-10.5
+518
-625
28
28
22
36
31
18
36
38

117
120

Teams Last 10

Atlanta Hawks Oklahoma City Thunder
DATE TM LN ML 1st 2nd 3rd 4th OT SC
12/06/23
BKN
ATL
121.7
-1.8
+69
-83
16
17
11
12
14
13
17
16

57
57
12/02/23
ATL
MIL
92.7
-2.2
+74
-91
14
15
4
3
13
12
3
12

44
48
11/30/23
ATL
SA
138.8
1.9
-135
+109
15
20
20
17
22
22
20
17

77
76
11/28/23
ATL
CLE
225.1
-3.8
+143
-174
31
27
26
33
27
36
14
25

99
121
11/26/23
ATL
BOS
175.3
-5.2
+177
-219
19
25
20
27
22
16
16
17

77
84
11/25/23
ATL
WAS
383.0
13.0
-542
+427
52
46
55
43
56
31
44
46

208
165
11/21/23
IND
ATL
352.9
-4.9
+181
-217
47
56
54
64
64
39
53
53

219
212
11/17/23
PHI
ATL
248.1
2.2
-126
+107
31
25
28
34
39
32
34
30

132
121
11/15/23
NY
ATL
255.9
-1.7
-115
-135
37
25
27
38
33
28
32
37

129
127
11/14/23
ATL
DET
89.7
0.7
-74
+61
15
12
10
12
13
12
12
12

50
48
DATE TM LN ML 1st 2nd 3rd 4th OT SC
12/06/23
OKC
HOU
112.7
0.6
-65
+55
11
16
14
12
12
13
14
15

51
55
12/02/23
OKC
DAL
86.1
0.7
-69
+58
12
4
14
11
13
10
3
13

46
44
11/30/23
LAL
OKC
131.0
-2.8
+98
-121
21
17
13
24
16
20
12
14

62
75
11/28/23
OKC
MIN
215.7
-3.3
+126
-149
27
18
30
32
16
22
24
28

97
100
11/25/23
PHI
OKC
352.5
2.3
-175
-162
44
47
55
46
43
32
52
63

194
188
11/22/23
CHI
OKC
135.6
-4.6
+155
-192
5
16
15
15
23
21
15
19

62
71
11/19/23
OKC
POR
279.2
10.9
-350
+281
41
26
54
27
31
29
41
31

167
114
11/16/23
OKC
GS
74.6
0.4
-52
+43
13
3
3
12
3
3
11
3

42
36
11/14/23
SA
OKC
94.9
-4.0
+146
-192
4
11
4
12
3
13
3
13

35
49
11/12/23
OKC
PHO
392.6
-5.9
+231
-276
49
49
42
51
44
46
53
22

188
168
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Atlanta Hawks

The Atlanta Hawks were as hot as the Thunder and on a five game winning streak until a two game skid cooled off their now gone momentum. Missing De’Andre Hunter, the Hawks were sloppy with the basketball in a 111-100 loss to the Chicago Bulls.

Turnovers typically aren’t a concern for the Hawks. With the confident backcourt duo of Dejounte Murray and Trae Young, the Hawks average 12.5 turnovers per game. To give up 34 in two nights is rare and with their 18 turnovers against OKC costing them the first matchup, it will be a key focus of Hawks head coach Nate McMillan to get his team to value the basketball. 

Three point shooting remains a weakness for the Hawks. Atlanta is 25th in the league in team 3PT% at 34.5% and attempts close to four fewer three point shots than the league average.

Oklahoma City Thunder

When top draft pick Chet Holmgren was lost for his rookie season, many expected a bleak season near the bottom of the league for the Oklahoma City Thunder. Thanks to MVP level play from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and a breakout season from Josh Giddey, the Thunder are 2023’s hottest team instead of cellar dwellers. 

Gilgeous-Alexander had 34 points in the Thunder’s massive 101-99 win over the Denver Nuggets on Sunday. SGA also scored the game winning bucket with 9.2 seconds left to steal the win for his team. 

The game winner and big buckets down the stretch continued a season of scoring in the clutch for SGA. With 99 clutch points scored in the final 5:00 of games within five points, Gilgeous-Alexander ranks third in the league as his big scoring nights are far from empty calories. 

Part of Gilgeous-Alexander’s scoring success in January has been the improved play of Josh Giddey. With Giddey often bringing the ball up and taking some of the playmaking load, Gilgeous-Alexander’s turnovers have dropped from 3.3 per game to 1.8 over the last nine with less pressure to create all of the offense. 

The Thunder are playing for a chance to reach .500 but against the spread they have been one of the best teams in the NBA. Underdogs in most games, the scrappy Thunder are 30-16-1 against the spread this season.

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Tags: Atlanta Hawks, Oklahoma City Thunder
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