Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA ATS Pick 1/25/23
Updated November 5, 2026
Updated November 5, 2026
The Oklahoma City Thunder host the Atlanta Hawks on Wednesday, January 25, 2023, in an intriguing matchup between two teams looking to build momentum in the Western and Eastern Conference playoff races.
Oklahoma City have been one of the NBA's hottest teams in January, winning five of their last six games. A victory over Atlanta would bring the Thunder back to .500 for the first time since November and complete a season-series sweep of the Hawks.
Atlanta, meanwhile, arrive in Oklahoma City looking to recover after consecutive losses ended their five-game winning streak.
The Thunder open as one-point home favorites, with the game total set at 236.5 points. Given their recent form and Atlanta's turnover problems, our Hawks vs Thunder prediction is Oklahoma City -1.
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Match details | |
|---|---|
The Pick | Oklahoma City Thunder -1 |
Competition | NBA Regular Season |
Date | Wednesday, January 25, 2023 |
Tipoff | 8:00 PM ET |
Venue | Paycom Center, Oklahoma City |
Opening spread | Thunder -1 |
Opening total | 236.5 points |
These are historical betting lines recorded ahead of the January 25, 2023 matchup and are included for reference.
Our preferred selection is Oklahoma City Thunder -1 against the spread.
The Thunder have been playing excellent basketball throughout January, while Atlanta have struggled with turnovers in their recent games.
Oklahoma City also defeated the Hawks in their previous meeting this season, providing another reason to favor the home team.
Three factors support backing Oklahoma City against Atlanta.
1. Oklahoma City are in excellent form
The Thunder have won five of their previous six games, establishing themselves as one of the NBA's strongest-performing teams during January.
Their recent success includes an impressive road victory over the Denver Nuggets, one of the Western Conference's leading teams.
2. Atlanta have struggled with turnovers
The Hawks have committed 34 turnovers across their previous two games, an unusually high number for a team that typically protects the basketball well.
Oklahoma City forced Atlanta into 18 turnovers in their first meeting this season, suggesting the Thunder could exploit the same weakness again.
3. The Thunder already beat Atlanta on the road
Oklahoma City defeated the Hawks 121-114 in Atlanta on December 5.
That result demonstrated the Thunder's ability to compete with Atlanta's talented backcourt.
With the rematch taking place at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City have a strong opportunity to complete the season sweep.
The Thunder enter Wednesday's game with better recent form, home-court advantage, and a previous victory over Atlanta.
The Hawks have enough offensive talent to make this competitive, but their recent turnover problems could prove costly against an Oklahoma City team playing with considerable confidence.
Atlanta arrive in Oklahoma City looking to recover after consecutive defeats interrupted a promising run of results.
The Hawks had won five straight games before their recent two-game losing streak.
Their latest setback came against the Chicago Bulls, who defeated Atlanta 111-100.
The Hawks were without De'Andre Hunter and struggled to maintain possession, committing too many turnovers against a Chicago team that capitalized on their mistakes.
Those problems will need to be addressed before facing Oklahoma City.
Ball security has not typically been a major weakness for the Hawks this season.
With Trae Young and Dejounte Murray handling much of the playmaking, Atlanta average approximately 12.5 turnovers per game.
However, the team have committed 34 turnovers across their previous two outings.
That represents a significant departure from their usual performance.
Atlanta also committed 18 turnovers in their earlier loss to Oklahoma City, contributing to the Thunder's 121-114 victory.
Head coach Nate McMillan will want his team to make better decisions with the basketball and avoid giving Oklahoma City easy scoring opportunities.
Atlanta's perimeter shooting has been another area of inconsistency.
The Hawks rank 25th in the NBA in three-point percentage at 34.5%.
They also attempt nearly four fewer three-pointers per game than the league average.
That combination can make it difficult to keep pace with opponents when their inside scoring is limited.
Young and Murray provide Atlanta with considerable offensive creativity, but the Hawks need more consistent contributions across the roster.
Against an Oklahoma City team playing well defensively and creating turnovers, Atlanta's shooting efficiency could become especially important.
Atlanta's backcourt remains one of the team's greatest strengths.
Young is capable of creating scoring opportunities for himself and his teammates, while Murray adds another experienced ball handler and perimeter defender.
Both players will need to be effective against Oklahoma City's energetic defense.
Reducing turnovers and controlling the pace of the game would give Atlanta a better chance of ending their losing streak.
However, the Hawks face a difficult challenge against a Thunder team that has been particularly impressive in recent weeks.
Oklahoma City have exceeded expectations during the 2022-23 NBA season.
When second overall draft pick Chet Holmgren suffered a season-ending injury before his rookie campaign began, many expected the Thunder to struggle near the bottom of the Western Conference.
Instead, the development of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Josh Giddey has helped transform Oklahoma City into a competitive young team.
The Thunder enter Wednesday's matchup having won five of their previous six games.
A victory over Atlanta would bring their record back to .500 for the first time since November.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been one of the NBA's standout performers this season.
His scoring ability, improved decision-making, and effectiveness in late-game situations have been central to Oklahoma City's success.
Gilgeous-Alexander delivered another outstanding performance against Denver on Sunday, scoring 34 points in the Thunder's 101-99 victory.
He also made the game-winning basket with 9.2 seconds remaining.
That performance continued a remarkable season of clutch scoring.
Gilgeous-Alexander has scored 99 clutch points in the final five minutes of games decided by five points or fewer, ranking third in the NBA.
His ability to deliver in close games makes Oklahoma City particularly dangerous when the outcome remains uncertain late in the fourth quarter.
Josh Giddey has also played an important role in Oklahoma City's recent success.
The young guard has taken on more responsibility as a playmaker, regularly bringing the ball up the court and initiating the offense.
That development has reduced some of the pressure on Gilgeous-Alexander.
With Giddey handling more of the playmaking duties, Gilgeous-Alexander has been able to focus on scoring while making fewer mistakes.
His turnovers have dropped from approximately 3.3 per game to 1.8 across his previous nine games.
That improvement has helped Oklahoma City become a more efficient offensive team.
The combination of Gilgeous-Alexander's scoring and Giddey's playmaking gives the Thunder a strong foundation against Atlanta.
The Thunder have also been one of the NBA's most successful teams against the spread.
Despite frequently entering games as underdogs, Oklahoma City have compiled a 30-16-1 ATS record this season.
That record reflects how consistently the Thunder have exceeded market expectations.
Their young roster has demonstrated the ability to compete against more established teams, including their recent victory over Denver.
Against Atlanta, Oklahoma City enter as slight favorites rather than underdogs.
However, their recent performances suggest they are capable of justifying that position.
The Thunder have won five of their previous six games and are playing with growing confidence.
Their victory over Denver demonstrated their ability to defeat strong opponents, even away from home.
Returning to Paycom Center gives Oklahoma City another opportunity to continue that momentum.
Turnovers could play a major role in Wednesday's matchup.
The Hawks have struggled to protect the basketball recently, while Oklahoma City forced 18 turnovers in the teams' previous meeting.
If Atlanta continue making mistakes, the Thunder could generate valuable transition scoring opportunities.
Gilgeous-Alexander has repeatedly delivered in close games this season.
His late-game performance against Denver is the latest example.
With Oklahoma City favored by only one point, the ability to execute in the final minutes could be decisive.
Oklahoma City's 121-114 victory in Atlanta on December 5 provides useful context for the rematch.
The Thunder demonstrated they could handle the Hawks' offensive talent and capitalize on their mistakes.
Playing at home should give Oklahoma City additional confidence.
Atlanta have enough offensive talent to challenge Oklahoma City, particularly if Trae Young and Dejounte Murray can improve their decision-making after a difficult stretch.
However, the Hawks' recent turnover problems are concerning.
Oklahoma City have been one of the NBA's strongest teams during January, winning five of their previous six games and defeating Denver on the road.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues to perform at an elite level, while Josh Giddey's development has helped make the Thunder more effective offensively.
The Thunder also have a previous victory over Atlanta this season and an impressive 30-16-1 record against the spread.
→ Our Take: Oklahoma City Thunder -1 is our pick for January 25, 2023. The Thunder have the stronger recent form, and Atlanta's turnover problems give the home team a favorable matchup.
Final Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -1
This article preserves the original pregame prediction published on January 25, 2023. All statistics, betting lines, and analysis reflect information available before that matchup and are not current betting recommendations.
Updated November 5, 2026
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