The Los Angeles Lakers (10-2) meet the Atlanta Hawks (4-8) at the Staples Center. The game is scheduled to get underway at 9:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 17, 2019.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 218 points with Los Angeles opening as a 13.5-point favorite.
Atlanta Hawks at Los Angeles Lakers Betting Prediction
In the Hawks’ last matchup, they were blown out by the Los Angeles Clippers, 150-101, and failed to cover as 8-point underdogs. The total points for the game (251) were well over the projected point total of 229.5. Los Angeles made 17 of their 33 three pointers (51.5 percent). Atlanta, on the other hand, was 6-24 (25.0 percent). Trae Young was Atlanta’s high scorer with 20 points on 4-for-16 shooting.
The Lakers edged the Sacramento Kings in their last contest, 99-97, but failed to cover as 10.5-point favorites. The game’s combined points (196) were well under the projected point total of 214. Los Angeles’ 0.247 free throw rate was their largest strength over Sacramento, who had a mark of 0.110. The Lakers’ mark was above their season average of 0.170, while the Kings’ was below their season average of 0.180. LeBron James was the top scorer from either team with 29 points on 10-for-20 shooting from the field.
Los Angeles could have their way on the defensive side of the ball as they square off against one of the NBA’s worst offenses. The Lakers currently rank fourth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.485), while Atlanta is 23rd in effective field goal percentage (0.507). It could also be an error-filled game for the offense of the Hawks, which ranks 30th in ball protection (turnover percentage of 16.8 percent). They’ll be going up against the top-notch defense of the Lakers, which forces the fifth-most turnovers in the NBA (15.9 percent).
Atlanta heads into the contest with records of 4-8 straight up (SU) and 5-6 against the spread (ATS). Vegas tends to place the total high when the Hawks are involved, as 63.6 percent of their contests have finished under the total.
Meanwhile, Los Angeles is 10-2 SU and 8-4 ATS. Similarly to Atlanta, Lakers games also tend to go under the total (58.3 percent).
After splitting two games last season, these teams will battle for the first time this year. In the most recent game, the Hawks won 117-113. Atlanta did an excellent job of getting and making free throws (21-26; 80.8 percent). Los Angeles, on the other hand, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (19.6 vs. 15.0).
Hawks at Lakers Pick
Free NBA Pick: O/U – Under
Atlanta is 2-3 ATS on the road with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Los Angeles is 5-2 ATS at home with 5 unders and 2 overs.
In games where they allow less than 100 points, Atlanta is 1-0 and Los Angeles is 6-0.
The Hawks are 4-5 when they reach 100 points, while the Lakers are 7-2.
Los Angeles ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.7) while Atlanta ranks 26th (7.5).
The Lakers average 8.2 steals per game, which ranks 10th in the league. The Hawks rank 27th in steals allowed per game (9.1).
Los Angeles ranks fifth in second chance points per game (14.8) while Atlanta ranks 19th in second chance points allowed per game (14.1).
The Lakers rank fourth in assists per game (26.5) while the Hawks rank 18th (23.2).
Los Angeles scores 18.4 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. Atlanta ranks 23rd in points off turnovers allowed (20.4 per game).
The Hawks rank 17th in three pointers attempted per game (31.6) while the Lakers rank 27th (29.1).
Atlanta ranks 19th in fast break points allowed per game (14.3) while Los Angeles ranks 27th (17.3).
The Lakers rank second in points allowed in the paint per game (42.8) while the Hawks rank eighth (45.7).
Los Angeles ranks 10th in rebounds per game (46.3) while Atlanta ranks 11th in rebounds allowed per game (44.8).
Over its last five games, Atlanta is 1-4 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Los Angeles is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 16.8, up from 8.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the Lakers have scored an average of 108.2 points per game (1.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 99.8 points per game (0.8 below their season average).