The Denver Nuggets (7-2) clash against the Atlanta Hawks (3-6) at the Pepsi Center. The game can be seen on Altitude 2 Sports at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, November 12, 2019.
Atlanta Hawks at Denver Nuggets ATS Prediction
In the Hawks’ last game, they were beaten by the Portland Trail Blazers, 124-113, and failed to cover as 9-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (237) were over the projected point total of 226. Portland’s rebounding was their biggest strength. The Trail Blazers had 16 offensive rebounds and 61 total rebounds, while the Hawks had 11 and 48, respectively. Trae Young was the game’s leading scorer with 35 points on 9-for-30 shooting.
The Nuggets edged the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last matchup, 100-98, but failed to cover as 4-point favorites. The game’s total points (198) came in well under the O/U total of 218.5. Denver’s effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Minnesota. The Nuggets had a rate of 0.441 (below their season average of 0.492), while the Timberwolves posted a mark of 0.381 (below their season average of 0.504). Nikola Jokic led Denver in scoring with 20 points on 9-for-23 shooting from the field.
Denver could dominate on the defensive side of the ball as they square off against one of the worst offenses in the league. The Nuggets rank fourth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.514), while Atlanta is 22nd in effective field goal percentage (0.521) since last season.
Atlanta comes into the contest with records of 3-6 straight up (SU) and 4-5 against the spread (ATS). Games including the Hawks have typically gone under the total (77.8 percent).
Denver is 7-2 SU, but they are just 3-5-1 ATS. Similarly to Atlanta, Nuggets games also have typically gone under the total (88.9 percent).
These two teams split two games last season. In the last game, the Hawks won 106-98. Atlanta’s 0.511 effective field goal percentage was its largest strength over Denver, who had a mark of 0.418.
Hawks at Nuggets Odds Pick
Free Pick: ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Under
In contests where they allow less than 100 points, Denver is 33-3 and Atlanta is 4-2.
The Hawks are 31-46 when they score over 100 points, while the Nuggets are 62-26.
Atlanta ranks third in points in the paint per game (51.4) while Denver ranks 23rd (51.4).
The Nuggets rank fifth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.2) while the Hawks rank 22nd (20.8).
Atlanta ranks 15th in three pointers attempted per game (36.5) while Denver ranks 27th (30.6).
The Hawks average 8.3 steals per game, which ranks fifth in the league. The Nuggets rank 16th in steals allowed per game (7.2).
Denver ranks 14th in blocks per game (4.5) while Atlanta ranks 25th in blocks allowed per game (5.7).
The Nuggets rank fifth in second chance points allowed per game (12.3) while the Hawks rank 16th (14.5).
Atlanta ranks fifth in fast break points allowed per game (16.0) while Denver ranks 16th (12.0).