The Brooklyn Nets (17-20) take on the Atlanta Hawks (8-31) at the Barclays Center. The game starts at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 12, 2020, and will air on YES Network.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 231.5 points with Brooklyn set as a 6-point favorite.
Atlanta Hawks at Brooklyn Nets Betting Prediction
In the Hawks’ last contest, they were 1.5-point favorites and lost to the Washington Wizards, 111-101. The game’s total points (212) were well under the O/U total of 238. Washington’s 6.8 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over Atlanta, who had a mark of 15.3. The Wizards’ mark was better than their season average of 11.6. Atlanta’s John Collins put together a solid game, contributing 15 points and 15 rebounds.
The Nets defeated the Miami Heat in their last contest, 117-113, despite being 4-point underdogs. The total points for the game (230) were over the O/U total of 218. Brooklyn’s rebounding was their biggest strength. The Nets had 14 offensive rebounds and 51 total rebounds, while the Heat had four and 40, respectively. Spencer Dinwiddie led Brooklyn in scoring with 26 points on 10-for-19 shooting from the field.
Brooklyn could have their way on defense as they go head-to-head against one of the worst offenses in the NBA. The Nets rank fifth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.500), while Atlanta is 25th in effective field goal percentage (0.505).
Atlanta comes into the contest with records of 8-31 straight up (SU) and 17-22 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the total of Hawks games, with 20 overs compared to 19 unders.
Meanwhile, Brooklyn owns records of 17-20 SU and 17-19-1 ATS. Unlike Atlanta, Nets games have finished under the O/U total 48.6 percent of the time.
The Nets have emerged victorious in both matchups against the Hawks this year, including a 10-point victory in their last matchup. Brooklyn covered as a 7-point favorite and the game finished with a total of 234 points, which was just 2 points above the projected point total of 232 points. Brooklyn had a better effective field goal percentage (0.515 vs. 0.424). Atlanta, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (7.9 vs. 11.8). Trae Young was the top overall scorer in the game with 47 points.
Hawks vs. Nets ATS Pick
Prediction: ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Over
Atlanta is 7-14 ATS on the road with 13 overs and 8 unders.
At home, Brooklyn is 10-8 ATS with 9 unders, 8 overs and 1 push.
When holding opponents under 100 points, Brooklyn is 3-1 and Atlanta is 3-0.
The Hawks are 8-25 when they reach the century mark, while the Nets are 17-15.
Brooklyn ranks fourth in points in the paint per game (50.9) while Atlanta ranks last in points allowed in the paint per game (53.4).
The Nets rank second in rebounds per game (48.5) while the Hawks rank 27th in rebounds allowed per game (47.3).
Brooklyn ranks eighth in second chance points per game (14.0) while Atlanta ranks 27th in second chance points allowed per game (15.1).
The Nets rank second in assists allowed per game (21.3) while the Hawks rank 20th (24.6).
Brooklyn ranks 16th in steals allowed per game (7.8) while Atlanta ranks last (8.9).
The Nets rank 16th in blocks per game (4.9) while the Hawks rank 28th in blocks allowed per game (6.5).
Atlanta averages 35.1 three pointers per game, which ranks ninth in the league. Brooklyn ranks 20th in three pointers allowed per game (34.3).
The Nets rank 23rd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.9) while the Hawks rank last (19.7).
Brooklyn averages 12.6 fast break points per game, which ranks 17th in the NBA. Atlanta ranks 20th in fast break points allowed per game (14.1).
In its last five outings, Atlanta is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.6, down from 9.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 104.4 points per game (5.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 113.8 points per game (2.1 above their season average).