The Toronto Raptors (32-14) put their seven-game winning streak on the line when they go head-to-head against the Atlanta Hawks (12-35) at Scotiabank Arena. The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 28, 2020, and will air on The Sports Network.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 231.5 points with Toronto opening as a 12.5-point favorite at PointsBet Sportsbook.
Atlanta Hawks at Toronto Raptors Betting Prediction
In the Hawks’ last matchup, they easily covered the 1-point spread against the Washington Wizards, 152-133. The combined points for the game (285) were well over the projected point total of 241. Atlanta’s offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over Washington. The Hawks had a rate of 31.6 (above their season average of 21.2), while the Wizards posted a mark of 18.2 (below the 25.4 mark opponents have averaged against Atlanta this season). With 45 points on 13-for-24 shooting, Trae Young was the top scorer from either team.
The Raptors beat the San Antonio Spurs in their last matchup, 110-106, covering as 3.5-point favorites. The combined points for the game (216) finished under the O/U total of 220.5. Toronto’s turnover percentage was their largest strength over San Antonio. The Raptors had a rate of 7.0 (better than their season average of 12.4), while the Spurs posted a mark of 14.7 (above their season average of 11.2). Pascal Siakam was the game’s top scorer with 35 points on 12-for-23 shooting from the field.
Toronto could have their way on defense as they go head-to-head against one of the NBA’s worst offenses. The Raptors currently rank second in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.500), while Atlanta is 24th in effective field goal percentage (0.508). Ball protection could be troublesome for the Hawks. They rank 29th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 15.3 percent), while the Raptors force the second-most turnovers in the league (opponents’ turnover percentage of 15.4 percent).
Atlanta comes into the contest with records of 12-35 straight up (SU) and 22-25 against the spread (ATS). Of the Hawks’ 47 games, 26 have gone over the total.
Meanwhile, Toronto owns records of 32-14 SU and 25-20-1 ATS. Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the total of Raptors games, with 24 overs compared to 22 unders.
The Raptors have won both matchups against the Hawks this season, including a five-point victory in their last matchup. Toronto was unable to cover as an 8.5-point favorite and the game finished with a total of 239 points, which was 7.5 points above the projected point total of 231.5 points. The Raptors had a much better turnover percentage (11.2 vs. 19.1) and had a better free throw rate (0.359 vs. 0.277). In the loss, Young had a double-double with 42 points and 15 assists.
Hawks at Raptors Pick
Pick: ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Over
On the road, Atlanta is 8-16 ATS with 15 overs and 9 unders.
At home, Toronto is 13-10 ATS with 13 overs and 10 unders.
In contests where they allow less than 100 points, Toronto is 12-3 and Atlanta is 4-0.
The Raptors are 30-9 when they reach the century mark, while the Hawks are 12-28.
Toronto averages 8.7 steals per game, which ranks second in the league. Atlanta ranks 29th in steals allowed per game (8.9).
The Raptors rank second in points allowed in the paint per game (41.9) while the Hawks rank 29th (53.4).
Toronto averages 20.2 points off turnovers per game, which ranks second in the league. Atlanta ranks 27th in points off turnovers allowed per game (19.7).
The Hawks rank sixth in three pointers allowed per game (31.7) while the Raptors rank 29th (38.3).
Toronto ranks third in fast break points per game (17.7) while Atlanta ranks 21st in fast break points allowed per game (14.1).
The Raptors average 5.0 blocks per game, which ranks 14th in the league. The Hawks rank 29th in blocks allowed per game (6.4).
Toronto averages 25.7 assists per game, which ranks seventh in the league. Atlanta ranks 20th in assists allowed per game (24.6).
The Hawks average 13.0 second chance points per game, which ranks 15th in the league. The Raptors rank 26th in second chance points allowed per game (14.2).
Toronto ranks 13th in rebounds per game (45.8) while Atlanta ranks 24th in rebounds allowed per game (46.9).
Over its last five contests, Atlanta is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Toronto is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 8.2, down from 9.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 115.8 points per game (3.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.4 points per game (2.4 above their season average).