The Philadelphia 76ers (35-22) will attempt to prolong their 12-game home winning streak in a matchup against the Atlanta Hawks (17-41) at Wells Fargo Center. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, February 24, 2020, and will air on NBATV.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Philadelphia 76ers Free Prediction
The Hawks come in on a high note after covering the 2-point spread against the Dallas Mavericks in their last matchup, 111-107. The combined points for the game (218) finished well under the O/U total of 237. The Hawks had a ridiculously low turnover percentage of 8.4 (better than their season average of 13.9) and held the Mavericks to an offensive rebounding percentage of 20.0 (below the 25.3 mark opponents have averaged against Atlanta this season). Atlanta was led by John Collins, who was the game’s high scorer with 35 points on 13-for-18 shooting.
The last time the 76ers played, they got blown out by the Milwaukee Bucks, 119-98. They were unable to cover as 9.5-point underdogs. The game’s total points (217) were under the O/U total of 227.5. Milwaukee’s 0.604 effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Philadelphia, who had a rate of 0.415. The Bucks’ mark was above their season average of 0.556, while the 76ers’ was below their season average of 0.527. Joel Embiid had a good game for Philadelphia, leading the team in scoring with 17 points on 5-for-18 shooting.
The two teams have split their two matchups this season. The Hawks won the most recent matchup 127-117, covering as 6-point underdogs. The game finished with a total of 244 points, which was 16 points above the projected point total of 228 points. Atlanta had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (22.7 vs. 17.4). Philadelphia, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (10.5 vs. 13.4). Trae Young recorded a double-double with 39 points and 18 assists.
Atlanta heads into the game with records of 17-41 straight up (SU) and 27-30-1 against the spread (ATS). Of the Hawks’ 58 games, 33 have gone over the projected point total.
Philadelphia has a respectable 35-22 SU record, but they have a hard time covering the spread (24-29-4 ATS). Of the 76ers’ 57 games, 28 have finished over the O/U total.
Philadelphia should have the advantage on the defensive side of the ball. The 76ers rank ninth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.515), while Atlanta is 25th in effective field goal percentage (0.513). Opposite styles will be on display in this showdown. The fast-breaking Hawks rank third in possessions per game, while the more half-court oriented 76ers rank 23rd.
Atlanta Hawks at Philadelphia 76ers Betting Pick
NBA Pick: ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Over
Betting Trends
On the road, Atlanta is 10-20 ATS with 18 overs and 12 unders.
Philadelphia is 15-10-3 ATS at home with 14 overs, 13 unders and 1 push.
When allowing below 100 points, Atlanta is 4-0 and Philadelphia is 14-1.
The 76ers are 31-10 when they score above 100 points, while the Hawks are 17-34.
Philadelphia ranks third in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while Atlanta ranks 29th (6.4).
The 76ers rank third in second chance points allowed per game (11.6) while the Hawks rank 28th (14.9).
Philadelphia ranks third in rebounds allowed per game (42.2) while Atlanta ranks 28th (47.1).
The 76ers rank ninth in steals per game (8.2) while the Hawks rank 28th in steals allowed per game (8.9).
Philadelphia ranks 11th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.5) while Atlanta ranks 29th (19.6).
The 76ers rank 13th in points allowed in the paint per game (47.0) while the Hawks rank 29th (53.8).
Philadelphia ranks third in assists allowed per game (22.4) while Atlanta ranks 18th (24.6).
The 76ers average 14.5 fast break points per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. The Hawks rank 23rd in fast break points allowed per game (14.4).
Philadelphia ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (28.9) while Atlanta ranks seventh (32.5).
In its last five contests, Atlanta is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Philadelphia is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.4, down from 8.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 111.4 points per game (2.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 108.8 points per game (2.4 above their season average).
