The Chicago Bulls (8-17) meet the Atlanta Hawks (6-18) at the United Center. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 11, 2019, and will air on NBC Sports Chicago.
Chicago is a 5-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 222.5 points.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Chicago Bulls Betting Prediction
The Hawks are hoping for a better outcome after not being able to cover as 1.5-point underdogs in their 135-121 loss to the Miami Heat in their last contest. The game’s total points (256) finished well over the O/U total of 222.5. Miami won the rebounding battle. The Heat had nine offensive rebounds and 53 total rebounds, while the Hawks had four and 37, respectively. De’Andre Hunter was Atlanta’s high scorer with 28 points on 11-for-17 shooting.
In the Bulls’ previous matchup, they dropped a tough one against the Toronto Raptors, 93-92, but were able to cover as 6-point underdogs. The game’s total points (185) came in well under the projected point total of 214.5. One of Toronto’s biggest advantages was getting to the free throw line. They had 26 free throw attempts, while Chicago had just 14. With 20 points on 6-for-18 shooting, Zach LaVine led Chicago in scoring.
It could be an error-filled game for the Chicago offense. Chicago ranks 18th in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.4 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Atlanta forces the eighth-most turnovers in the league (14.8 percent).
Atlanta holds records of 6-18 straight up (SU) and 11-12 against the spread (ATS). Of the Hawks’ 23 games that accepted bets, 13 have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, Chicago owns records of 8-17 SU and 12-13 ATS. Unlike Atlanta, Bulls games tend to go under the projected point total (56.0 percent).
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. Tomas Satoransky scored a game-high 27 points in the first matchup, in which the Bulls defeated the Hawks 113-93, covering as 1-point favorites. He also had eight assists and seven rebounds. The game finished with a total of 206 points, which was 15 points below the projected point total of 221 points. The Bulls had a much better turnover percentage (15.3 vs. 21.2) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.579 vs. 0.446).
Hawks vs. Bulls ATS Pick
Pick: ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Over
Chicago ranks ninth in second chance points per game (14.1) while Atlanta ranks 28th in second chance points allowed per game (15.3).
Atlanta ranks 15th in rebounds allowed per game (45.6) while Chicago ranks 26th (48.2).
The Bulls rank 10th in fast break points per game (14.1) while the Hawks rank 15th in fast break points allowed per game (13.5).
Chicago is 6-7 ATS at home, while Atlanta is 5-7 ATS on the road.
In its last five outings, Atlanta is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Chicago is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.6, down from 8.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Bulls have scored an average of 102.8 points per game (2.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 101.6 points per game (7.0 below their season average).