Thiago Moises vs Joel Alvarez Odds
Thiago Moisis -240 vs Joel Alvarez
Fight is at 155 lbs and is +120 to end inside the distance.
Thiago Moises vs Joel Alvarez Betting Preview
Thiago Moises is taking a massive step down in level of competition. His last fight was a main event with Islam Makhachev that did not go his way. He does not draw an opponent ranked lower than Makhachev, he draws an opponent that could not come close to sniffing the rankings.
Joel Alvarez is on a three fight winning streak. However, that should be taken with a grain of salt. Two of those fighters were cut from the roster after their fight. The other has a 3-6 record in the promotion, and is hanging on by a thread.
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Alvarez is very long for the lightweight division. He tries to use kicks to keep the striking at range, but struggles when opponents can get inside. He enjoys grappling off his back, and to his credit, has secured two submissions in his last two fights from there. Now, that is where the good news ends for him. Moises is so many levels above his recent opponents, particularly on the floor. The things that worked for Alvarez in those fights essentially have no chance of success in this one.
Moises will get takedowns in this fight. He is the better BJJ player and will not put himself in danger on top. Instead he will work to his own finish or will take rounds with his work on top. In the standup, Moises will either force his way inside to land on Alvarez or will take striking out of the equation altogether with takedowns.
The step up for Alvarez is way more than he can handle. The step down for Moises is borderline insulting. Take Moises to get back on track on the flat line.
Betting Pick: Moises -250
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