Ramiz Brahimaj vs Micheal Gillmore Fight Odds
Ramiz Brahimaj -355 vs Micheal Gillmore
Fight is at 170 ls and is -175 to end inside the distance.
I certainly do not want to sound disrespectful to fighters, but this is a wild mismatch. Micheal Gillmore stepped up as a replacement on The Ultimate Fighter and Dana White took a liking to his attitude. That willing mind set earned Gillmore chances in the UFC, but he has a wildly limited skill set for this level of MMA.
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+
Gillmore is a striker, and not an awful one. Where he comes undone is with his essentially novice level grappling game. Gillmore is 6-4 as a pro fighter, with all four losses coming by way of submission. That is in addition to his bout on The Ultimate Fighter which lost by submission, but that was considered an exhibition match. Any time Gillmore runs into a fighter with any sort of wrestling and grappling chops, he is in for a tough night.
Brahimaj Bounce Back
Speaking of capable wrestlers and grapplers, Ramiz Brhaimaj absolutely fits that bill. He is very sharp when he gets his wrestling game going. He is also in need of getting back in the win column after a very dull showing in his last fight against Court McGee. This matchup is exactly what the doctor ordered to cure the ills of Brahimaj.
When Brahimaj can get his wrestling and top game going, he generally finds success. All nine of his career wins as a pro have come by way of submission. Now, Brahimaj has shown that he still has work to do if he is going to climb the UFC ladder. His only win in three tries in the promotion also came against a low level grappler. That said, he is essentially going to get little to no resistance on takedowns and will have his way on the floor once he takes it down.
What To Bet
Despite the general low end nature of this fight, it is an absolute mismatch and I believe the flat betting line is quite short. What is wildly short however, is the ITD line on Brahimaj. We only have to lay -125 for him to win inside the distance. Consider this line is on a fighter that has a perfect 100% submission rate in his career against a novice level grappler that has been submitted in every loss. This should be a short and sweet one for Brahimaj to get back on track.
Betting Pick: Brahimaj ITD -125
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+