Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Yankees Pick For 6/8/2024

Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers

Jun 8, 2024

New York Yankees

New York Yankees
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Details

  • Date: June 8, 2024
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium
  • Starting Pitchers:
    • Gavin Stone - Dodgers
    • Nestor Cortes - Yankees

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Dodgers 100, Yankees -120
Runline: Dodgers 1.5 -195, Yankees -1.5 165
Over/Under Total: 8.5 -120

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Los Angeles Dodgers - 48% Los Angeles Dodgers - 46.64%
New York Yankees - 52% New York Yankees - 53.36%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees and Los Angeles Dodgers face off at Yankee Stadium on June 8, 2024, in what could be a thrilling interleague matchup. Both teams are having stellar seasons. The Yankees boast a 45-20 record, and the Dodgers aren't far behind at 40-25. The Yankees lead the AL East, while the Dodgers are leading in the NL West.

Yesterday, the Dodgers claimed victory in the series opener, in an 11-inning affair in the Bronx. Both teams will look to their starting pitchers to set the tone in this second game of the series. The Yankees are sending left-hander Nestor Cortes to the mound, who has a respectable 3.46 ERA over 13 starts. However, he’s sporting a less impressive 3-4 record. On the flip side, the Dodgers will counter with right-hander Gavin Stone, who has been stellar with a 6-2 record and a fantastic 2.90 ERA across 11 starts.

One intriguing aspect of this game is the disparity between the projections for both starting pitchers and their recent performances. According to THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, Cortes is expected to allow an average of 2.8 earned runs over 5.5 innings, while Stone is projected to give up the same number of earned runs but in just 4.8 innings. Additionally, both pitchers are expected to allow around 5 hits and 1.5-1.8 walks, suggesting a potential offensive showdown.

The Yankees' lineup has been scorching this season, ranking 1st in MLB in overall offensive production, 2nd in home runs, and 4th in batting average. Juan Soto has been particularly hot, batting .429 with a 1.571 OPS over the past week. Conversely, the Dodgers’ offense is no slouch, ranking 2nd overall and 3rd in home runs. Freddie Freeman has led the charge recently, posting a .350 average and 1.281 OPS over the last seven games.

One potential advantage for the Dodgers is that Cortes is a high-flyball pitcher, which could play into the hands of their powerful lineup. However, Cortes’s low walk rate could nullify one of the Dodgers’ strengths, as they rank 2nd in walks drawn this season.

The Yankees have a slight edge according to betting markets, with a moneyline set at -125 and an implied win probability of 53%. The Dodgers sit at +105 with a 47% implied win probability. Given the Yankees' potent offense and home-field advantage, they seem poised to take another game in this series.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Dodgers:

Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.

  • Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.

Typically, batters like Mookie Betts who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Nestor Cortes.

  • This mostly has to do with the way the hitter's swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

Los Angeles Dodgers bats collectively place 5th- in the league for power since the start of last season when assessing with their 9.2% Barrel%.

  • Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Quick Takes New York Yankees:

Nestor Cortes is an extreme flyball pitcher (44% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #9 HR venue in the majors today.

  • This pitcher's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Since the start of last season, Aaron Judge's 26.9% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 100th percentile among his peers.

  • Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Gleyber Torres has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

  • This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 35 games (+20.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 42 games (+6.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 16 games at home (+8.30 Units / 52% ROI)

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Prediction

Final Score: Los Angeles Dodgers 4.92 vs New York Yankees 5

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Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-104
22% LAD
-114
78% NYY

Total Pick Consensus

8.5/-120
10% UN
8.5/+100
90% OV

Spread Pick Consensus

-1.5/+154
9% LAD
+1.5/-185
91% NYY

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Pitchers
  • Recent Starts
LAD
Team Stats
NYY
4.26
ERA
4.06
.239
Batting Avg Against
.231
1.24
WHIP
1.25
.288
BABIP
.276
7.8%
BB%
8.8%
23.0%
K%
23.5%
70.6%
LOB%
73.2%
.252
Batting Avg
.232
.456
SLG
.402
.795
OPS
.709
.339
OBP
.307
LAD
Team Records
NYY
22-12
Home
22-10
20-14
Road
26-11
24-19
vRHP
39-15
18-7
vLHP
9-6
10-7
vs>.500
18-10
32-19
vs<.500
30-11
6-4
Last10
8-2
11-9
Last20
15-5
17-13
Last30
23-7
G. Stone
N. Cortes
12.0
Innings
63.1
3
GS
12
0-0
W-L
5-2
12.75
ERA
4.97
6.00
K/9
9.52
6.00
BB/9
2.84
0.75
HR/9
1.56
52.0%
LOB%
69.1%
7.7%
HR/FB%
11.0%
5.02
FIP
4.50
5.71
xFIP
4.83
.444
AVG
.243
11.3%
K%
25.2%
11.3%
BB%
7.5%
5.89
SIERA
4.33

G. Stone

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC

N. Cortes

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
5/4 TOR
Kikuchi N/A
L1-2 N/A
4
4
2
2
3
4
51-83
4/29 KC
Bubic N/A
W12-2 N/A
5
8
2
1
3
0
56-82
4/17 BAL
Zimmermann N/A
L0-5 N/A
5
3
0
0
12
1
62-88
4/12 TOR
Kikuchi N/A
W4-0 N/A
4.1
3
0
0
5
0
46-72

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • RunLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
LAD NYY
LAD NYY
Consensus
+105
-124
-104
-114
+105
-125
-105
-115
+102
-120
-102
-116
-118
+102
-107
-110
+105
-125
-105
-115
+105
-125
-105
-115
Open
Current
Book
LAD NYY
LAD NYY
Consensus
+1.5 (155)
-1.5 (+162)
-1.5 (+155)
+1.5 (-194)
+1.5 (154)
-1.5 (+164)
-1.5 (+154)
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+168)
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+158)
+1.5 (-192)
-1.5 (+138)
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+155)
+1.5 (-195)
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+162)
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+162)
+1.5 (155)
-1.5 (+165)
-1.5 (+155)
+1.5 (-190)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
8.5 (-115)
8.5 (-105)
8.5 (-124)
8.5 (+103)
8.5 (-115)
8.5 (-105)
9.0 (+100)
9.0 (-120)
9.0 (-105)
9.0 (-115)
8.5 (-128)
8.5 (+104)
9.0 (-107)
9.0 (-114)
9.0 (+102)
9.0 (-122)
8.5 (-115)
8.5 (-105)
8.5 (-125)
8.5 (+105)
8.5 (-115)
8.5 (-105)
8.5 (-120)
8.5 (+100)