Liberty Flames

Liberty Flames

Sep 7, 2024

New Mexico State Aggies

New Mexico State Aggies
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Liberty vs New Mexico State Prediction, Preview, & Odds – 9/7/2024

The Liberty Flames are set to take on the New Mexico State Aggies on September 7, 2024. With the Flames favored by 22 points according to DraftKings Sportsbook, early betting action shows 40% of spread bets on Liberty and 60% on New Mexico State. The over/under of 58.5 has seen 96% of bets on the under and 4% on the over. Keep reading to get our thoughts on this Liberty vs New Mexico State matchup and for our best bet for this Conference USA contest.

Liberty Facing High Expectations In Conference Opener

The Liberty Flames got a win to start their season, defeating the FCS Campbell Fighting Camels 41-24 at home. Liberty is once again led by quarterback Kaidon Salter, who threw for 242 yards and two touchdowns in the season opener for the Flames. After winning Conference USA last season, Liberty will look to assert their dominance in their conference opener here.

The defense of Liberty will be the key to this contest, as their offense isn’t much of a question mark at this point in time. But if the Flames struggle on defense this weekend, they could let New Mexico State hang around longer than anticipated, which could lead to an upset if they are not careful.

New Mexico State Hopes to Overcome Sluggish Start

It wasn’t pretty, but the New Mexico State Aggies got a Week 1 win as well, a 23-16 victory over Southeast Missouri State. As a team, the Aggies had seven total completions in their 23 pass attempts, racking up just 60 yards through the air. They will not be able to afford to be that anemic offensively on Saturday if they want any chance to upset the Flames at home.

Throwing the football was always going to be more difficult for New Mexico State this year than it was last year, with Diego Pavia transferring to Vanderbilt after last season. But the start for the New Mexico State passing attack was especially bleak and that has to change for this team to get anywhere close to the success it achieved in 2023.

Liberty vs New Mexico State Best Bet

New Mexico State could figure things out eventually on offense, but we do not expect that to happen in this Liberty vs New Mexico State matchup. We will gladly lay the points with Liberty in this contest as they should be able to shut down a team that had trouble generating completions against a vastly inferior opponent a week ago.

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

-22.0/-115
50% LIBRTY
+22.0/-105
50% NMXST

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-2084
96% LIBRTY
+1018
4% NMXST

Total Pick Consensus

54.0/-110
74% UN
54.0/-110
26% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Passing
  • Rushing
  • Special Teams

Offense/Defense

LIBRTY
Team Stats
NMXST
8
GM
9
30.9
PPG
37.1
70.4
PLAYS-PG
70.4
442.4
YDS/G
450.2
6.3
YPP
6.4
24.0
1st DPG
20.9
8.6
1st DPass
9.3
13.6
1st DRush
9.9
1.8
1st Pen
1.7
7.9
Pen-Gm
6.9
80.5
Pen-Yds
76.6
0.9
FUM-G
0.0
0.4
INT-G
0.6

Defense/Offense

LIBRTY
Team Stats
NMXST
8
GM
9
22.6
PPG
20.6
62.4
PLAYS-PG
65.9
339.9
YDS/G
304.3
5.4
YPP
4.6
18.1
1st DPG
18.8
7.9
1st DPass
6.1
7.1
1st DRush
9.6
3.1
1st Pen
3.1
7.0
Pen-Gm
5.6
59.6
Pen-Yds
49.1
0.8
FUM-G
1.0
0.5
INT-G
1.2

Offense/Defense

LIBRTY
Rushing
NMXST
45.0
ATT
40.8
242.4
Y/G
204.8
5.4
Y/A
5.0
2.3
TD/G
2.7

Defense/Offense

LIBRTY
Rushing
NMXST
36.0
ATT
40.6
140.9
Y/G
187.8
3.9
Y/A
4.6
1.9
TD/G
1.6

Offense/Defense

LIBRTY
Passing
NMXST
15.4
CMP
16.8
25.4
ATT
29.7
60.6
CMP%
56.6
200
Y/G
245.4
7.9
Y/A
8.3
1.6
TD/G
1.7

Defense/Offense

LIBRTY
Passing
NMXST
16.1
CMP
10.9
26.4
ATT
25.3
61.1
CMP%
43
199
Y/G
116.6
7.5
Y/A
4.6
0.9
TD/G
0.8

LIBRTY
Special Teams
NMXST
3.5
Punts-GM
5.8
43.2
Punt Avg
44.8
2.8
Kick Ret GM
3.9
18.3
Kick Ret Avg
19.8
1.0
Punt Ret GM
0.9
12.3
Punt Ret Avg
3.6

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
LIBRTY NMXST
LIBRTY NMXST
Consensus
-18.5 (-108)
+18.5 (-110)
-22.5 (-108)
+22.5 (-113)
-19.5 (-115)
+19.5 (-110)
-22.0 (-115)
+22.0 (-105)
-20.5 (-105)
+20.5 (-110)
-22.5 (-105)
+22.5 (-115)
-21.5 (-108)
+21.5 (-115)
-22.5 (-108)
+22.5 (-113)
-20.5 (-110)
+20.5 (-110)
-22.0 (-110)
+22.0 (-110)
-21.5 (-105)
+21.5 (-110)
-22.5 (-105)
+22.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
LIBRTY NMXST
LIBRTY NMXST
Consensus
-1400
+800
-2084
+1018
-2100
+1100
-2100
+1100
-1450
+810
-2800
+1160
-1667
+850
-2000
+950
-2000
+1050
-2000
+1050
-2000
+950
-2500
+1100
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
56.5 (-110)
56.5 (-110)
54.0 (-111)
54.0 (-110)
57.0 (-110)
57.0 (-110)
54.0 (-110)
54.0 (-110)
55.5 (-110)
55.5 (-110)
54.5 (-105)
54.5 (-115)
57.5 (-108)
57.5 (-113)
54.0 (-112)
54.0 (-109)
57.5 (-110)
57.5 (-110)
54.0 (-110)
54.0 (-110)
57.5 (-110)
57.5 (-110)
54.5 (-110)
54.5 (-110)