A top-five showdown is set for Saturday afternoon when the #5 Houston Cougars (10-1, 1-0 away) visit the #2 Virginia Cavaliers (8-0, 5-0 home). Both teams are off to great starts, but Houston did suffer their first loss, at home, late last week. UVA has been one of the biggest surprises this season and will look to remain unbeaten. Below is my college basketball pick for Houston vs Virginia.
Houston vs Virginia Betting Pick
ℹ️ The Pick: | Houston -1.5 |
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This game will be played at John Paul Jones Arena at 2:00 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 17, 2022.
Why Houston -1.5
✅ Houston is 13-5 against the spread in their last 18 games.
✅ The Cougars have won eight of their last 10 games.
✅ Virginia is 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
NCAABB
Houston Cougars
Virginia Cavaliers
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
HOU | Advanced Game Stats | VIR |
---|---|---|
64.2 | Pace | 61.2 |
113.0 | Off.Rate | 96.2 |
.299 | FTr | .257 |
.366 | 3PAr | .399 |
.526 | TS% | .498 |
52.7 | TRB% | 51.2 |
49.1 | AST% | 52.1 |
15.5 | STL% | 8.3 |
16.1 | BLK% | 8.7 |
.497 | eFG% | .462 |
11.4 | TOV% | 16.7 |
36.9 | ORB% | 28.1 |
.208 | TF/FGA | .193 |
Defense/Offense
HOU | Advanced Game Stats | VIR |
---|---|---|
64.2 | Pace | 61.2 |
88.2 | Off.Rate | 102.7 |
.390 | FTr | .251 |
.409 | 3PAr | .327 |
.482 | TS% | .512 |
47.3 | TRB% | 48.8 |
60.2 | AST% | 63.4 |
7.9 | STL% | 11.5 |
7.4 | BLK% | 15.9 |
.440 | eFG% | .493 |
21.2 | TOV% | 11.6 |
30.3 | ORB% | 26.0 |
.261 | TF/FGA | .160 |
Betting Trends
HOU | Betting Trends | VIR |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-3-0 |
71.67 | Avg Score | 62.33 |
53 | Avg Opp Score | 58.33 |
AWAY | HOME | |
3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-3-0 |
66.67 | Avg Score | 63 |
53 | Avg Opp Score | 50.67 |
HOU | Betting Trends | VIR |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-4-0 |
73.6 | Avg Score | 65.8 |
51.8 | Avg Opp Score | 56.2 |
AWAY | HOME | |
4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
63.2 | Avg Score | 69 |
53.8 | Avg Opp Score | 58.4 |
HOU | Betting Trends | VIR |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
9-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
73 | Avg Score | 69.9 |
50.7 | Avg Opp Score | 58.4 |
AWAY | HOME | |
7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-6-1 |
68.5 | Avg Score | 68.1 |
62.3 | Avg Opp Score | 56.6 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Houston Cougars
Last time out, Houston hosted North Carolina AT&T and easily won 74-46. The Cougars bounced back nicely from their first loss of the season and were never challenged in this one. Houston led by 15 at the half but could not cover the big 32-point spread.
Javier Francis came off the bench and had 17 points, 15 rebounds, and three blocks. Marcus Sasser added 17 points, four rebounds, two assists, and one steal in the win.
Through 11 games, Houston is scoring 73.9 points per game, shooting 46.0% from the field, and assisting on 13.9 made shots. The Cougars are allowing 49.7 points, grabbing 40.3 rebounds, blocking 5.9 shots, and stealing the ball 9.5 times.
Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia hosted the James Madison Dukes and struggled as they escaped with a 55-50 win. This was the typical Virginia game under Tony Bennett as it was low scoring, close, and ended with a win. Virginia led by seven at the break, but the Dukes were down just two points with under a minute left in the game. Ultimately, Virginia won by five but could not cover the 12-point spread.
Kihei Clark had 18 points, two rebounds, seven assists, and one steal on the night. Jayden Gardner added 14 points, eight rebounds, two steals, and two blocks in the win.
After eight games, Virginia is scoring 72.1 points per game, shooting 47.2% from the field, and assisting on 15.3 made shots. The Cavaliers are allowing 57.9 points, grabbing 33.1 rebounds, blocking 5.3 shots, and stealing the ball 7.0 times.
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