A SEC showdown is set for Wednesday night when the Alabama Crimson Tide (10-2, 0-0 in SEC) visit the Mississippi State Bulldogs (11-1, 0-0). Both teams have had great starts to the season, but the jury is still out on if Mississippi State is for real. Below is my college basketball betting pick for Alabama vs Mississippi State.
Alabama vs Mississippi State Betting Pick
ℹ️ The Pick: | Alabama -3 |
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This game will be played at Humphrey Coliseum at 9:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 28, 2022.
Why Bet Alabama -3
✅ Alabama is 5-1 straight up on their last six games.
✅ The Crimson Tide have won four of their last five games against Mississippi State.
✅ The Bulldogs are just 1-6 against the spread in their last seven games
NCAABB
Alabama Crimson Tide
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
ALA | Advanced Game Stats | MSPST |
---|---|---|
74.2 | Pace | 68.9 |
121.3 | Off.Rate | 99.9 |
.352 | FTr | .324 |
.467 | 3PAr | .411 |
.600 | TS% | .519 |
53.0 | TRB% | 45.9 |
52.1 | AST% | 48.5 |
9.7 | STL% | 10.6 |
10.5 | BLK% | 10.6 |
.562 | eFG% | .477 |
13.7 | TOV% | 15.9 |
35.0 | ORB% | 27.5 |
.276 | TF/FGA | .243 |
Defense/Offense
ALA | Advanced Game Stats | MSPST |
---|---|---|
74.2 | Pace | 68.9 |
108.4 | Off.Rate | 108.1 |
.396 | FTr | .379 |
.367 | 3PAr | .382 |
.544 | TS% | .546 |
47.0 | TRB% | 54.1 |
45.1 | AST% | 53.3 |
9.9 | STL% | 11.7 |
12.6 | BLK% | 9.1 |
.499 | eFG% | .517 |
13.6 | TOV% | 15.9 |
30.0 | ORB% | 35.5 |
.294 | TF/FGA | .255 |
Betting Trends
ALA | Betting Trends | MSPST |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
0-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-3-0 |
88.33 | Avg Score | 63 |
84 | Avg Opp Score | 61 |
AWAY | HOME | |
2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-3-0 |
80.67 | Avg Score | 63 |
78.33 | Avg Opp Score | 61 |
ALA | Betting Trends | MSPST |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
1-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-4-0 |
82.8 | Avg Score | 68 |
76.4 | Avg Opp Score | 57.2 |
AWAY | HOME | |
3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-5-0 |
76.8 | Avg Score | 69 |
74 | Avg Opp Score | 57.8 |
ALA | Betting Trends | MSPST |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
8-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
83.4 | Avg Score | 68.3 |
75.2 | Avg Opp Score | 53.3 |
AWAY | HOME | |
5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 9-1-0 |
4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
79.3 | Avg Score | 68.7 |
79.7 | Avg Opp Score | 53.6 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Alabama Crimson Tide
Last time out, Alabama hosted the Jackson State Tigers and easily won 84-64. It was tight first half that saw Alabama lead by just one at the break, but the Crimson Tide talent showed up in the second half. Alabama built a 20-point winning advantage but could not cover the big 29.5-point spread.
Brandon Miller had 10 points, 14 rebounds, three assists, and three steals on the night. Mark Sears added 15 points, one rebound, two assists, and two steals in the win.
Through 12 games, Alabama is scoring 83.7 points per game, shooting 43.9% from the field, and assisting on 15.4 made shots. The Crimson Tide are allowing 72.1 points, grabbing 47.6 rebounds, blocking 5.8 shots, and stealing the ball 5.8 times.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State played Drake in the Battle in the Vault and suffered their first loss of the season, 58-52. The Bulldogs got off to a great start, leading by as many as 10, and winning by eight at the half. It was all Drake in the second half as they won the final 20 minutes by 15, won the game by six, and won outright as 4.5-point underdogs.
Eric Reed Jr. had 11 points, three rebounds, and one assist in the defeat.
After 12 games, Mississippi State is scoring 68.3 points per game, shooting 42.7% from the field, and assisting on 15.6 made shots. The Bulldogs are allowing 52.6 points, grabbing 40.3 rebounds, blocking 4.4 shots, and stealing the ball 10.2 times.
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