Hornets vs Thunder
This inter-conference Hornets vs Thunder matchup is not between teams that will be making any noise in the postseason. One team may still make the play-in portion of the playoffs, but neither are a threat to win a playoff series.
The Thunder are not realistically in any playoff race. They are only trying to develop their young team down the stretch, and are already looking forward to the off-season’s draft and free agency periods. The Thunder are just 2-7 since the All-Star break, allowing teams to score essentially at will during that stretch.
The Hornets currently hold the 10 seed in the Eastern Conference. While they have little competition for that 10 seed below them, there is very little opportunity for seeding advancement either. They could realistically pass the Hawks for the 9 seed, but that does not change being on the wrong end of the play-in seeding. They will be eliminated by whichever of the 76ers, Cavaliers or Raptors that they draw in the play-in portion.
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This game will be played at the Paycom Center at 8:00 PM ET on Monday, March 14th 2022.
Why Bet The Over
✅ The Thunder were a team that could be counted on for mostly low scoring games in the earlier portions of the season. They were a bit more defensively competent but had their own issues scoring as well. That has all changed since the All Star Break. They are having fewer issues at the offensive end, but have fallen off a cliff defensively. They allow 110.4 points per game on the season. Since the All Star Break that figure has spiked to 126.7 points per game.
✅ The recent spike in scoring allowed has not fully been on the Thunder. In their nine games since the All Star Break, six have come against the top nine fastest paced teams in the league. All nine have come against teams in the top half of the league in scoring average. Now this matchup with the Hornets is against the third fastest paced and second highest scoring team in the league. This game will follow suit with these fast paced opponents scoring in the 130s.
✅ The Hornets are reliant on pace and scoring, and are not a defensive juggernaut by any stretch of the imagination. The Hornets are generally competitive regardless of competition, holding a miniscule average differential margin no matter where they play their games. The average output in Hornets games overall is a tick over 229 points. That figure spikes on the road to just under 233 points. They will allow the Thunder to be at least competitive as there will be little defense on either end en route to one of, if not the highest scoring game of the evening.