Zay Flowers NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens on Sep 29, 2024
Zay Flowers Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 4.5 over: -141
- Receptions 4.5 under: 108
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Zay Flowers has run a route on 92.5% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
The model projects Zay Flowers to accumulate 6.5 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
The Ravens offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all pass game stats across the board.
With a stellar 4.4 adjusted catches per game (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Zay Flowers places among the leading wide receivers in the league in the NFL.
Since the start of last season, the poor Bills pass defense has conceded a colossal 68.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 7th-worst rate in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
A rushing game script is implied by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite in this game.
The predictive model expects the Ravens as the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 48.0% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see just 122.0 total plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.
When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Buffalo's unit has been tremendous since the start of last season, projecting as the best in the NFL.
Projection For Zay Flowers Receptions Prop Bet
Zay Flowers is projected to have 4.4 Receptions in this weeks game.
Zay Flowers Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 50.5 over: -114
- Receiving Yards 50.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Zay Flowers has run a route on 92.5% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
The model projects Zay Flowers to accumulate 6.5 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Zay Flowers has garnered a whopping 23.3% of his team's air yards since the start of last season: 78th percentile among wideouts.
The Ravens offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all pass game stats across the board.
With a remarkable 46.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (76th percentile) since the start of last season, Zay Flowers rates among the best wide receivers in the NFL in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
A rushing game script is implied by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite in this game.
The predictive model expects the Ravens as the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 48.0% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see just 122.0 total plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.
The Bills defense has given up the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 122.0) versus wide receivers since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the strong Bills pass defense has conceded the least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wideouts: a paltry 3.2 YAC.
Projection For Zay Flowers Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Zay Flowers is projected to have 46.4 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
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