Zack Moss NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Cincinnati Bengals at Carolina Panthers on Sep 29, 2024
Zack Moss Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 53.5 over: -140
- Rushing Yards 53.5 under: 110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Bengals are a 5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
This week, Zack Moss is forecasted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 76th percentile among running backs with 13.1 rush attempts.
Out of all RBs, Zack Moss grades out in the 85th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 56.9% of the workload in his offense's running game.
Zack Moss has picked up 55.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in football among RBs (82nd percentile).
Since the start of last season, the shaky Carolina Panthers run defense has conceded a staggering 139.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 2nd-worst in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Bengals to be the 4th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 37.7% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Bengals since the start of last season (a mere 56.4 per game on average).
Projection For Zack Moss Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Zack Moss is projected to have 54 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Zack Moss Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 13.5 over: -125
- Carries 13.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
The Bengals are a 5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
This week, Zack Moss is forecasted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 76th percentile among running backs with 13.1 rush attempts.
Out of all RBs, Zack Moss grades out in the 85th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 56.9% of the workload in his offense's running game.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Carolina's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, profiling as the 3rd-worst in football. in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
The model projects the Bengals to be the 4th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 37.7% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Bengals since the start of last season (a mere 56.4 per game on average).
Projection For Zack Moss Carries Prop Bet
Zack Moss is projected to have 12.8 Carries in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Zack Moss Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 14.5 over: -113
- Receiving Yards 14.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The projections expect the Bengals as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Zack Moss has been used more as a potential target this season (57.6% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (46.2%).
The model projects Zack Moss to accrue 3.5 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile among running backs.
Zack Moss has notched a massive 1.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 79th percentile when it comes to RBs. (That might not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
The Carolina Panthers safeties profile as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Bengals are a 5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Bengals since the start of last season (a mere 56.4 per game on average).
Opposing teams have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game versus the Panthers defense since the start of last season: fewest in the NFL.
The Panthers defense has allowed the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 19.0) vs. RBs since the start of last season.
Projection For Zack Moss Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Zack Moss is projected to have 17.8 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
