Tyler Conklin projections and prop bets for New York Jets at Pittsburgh Steelers on Oct 20, 2024
Tyler Conklin Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 19.5 over: -130
- Receiving Yards 19.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
With a 68.3% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the league has been the Jets.
Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
Tyler Conklin's 83.2% Route Participation Rate this season conveys a substantial improvement in his passing offense workload over last season's 67.7% rate.
The New York offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Tyler Conklin profiles as one of the best pass-catching TEs this year, averaging an exceptional 33.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 79th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call just 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Tyler Conklin has compiled far fewer air yards this year (30.0 per game) than he did last year (39.0 per game).
This year, the strong Pittsburgh Steelers defense has yielded a measly 70.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 9th-best rate in the league.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency versus tight ends this year, yielding 5.93 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in football.
As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's safety corps has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 5th-best in the NFL.
Projection For Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Tyler Conklin is projected to have 22.9 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Tyler Conklin Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: -115
- Receptions 2.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
With a 68.3% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the league has been the Jets.
Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
Tyler Conklin's 83.2% Route Participation Rate this season conveys a substantial improvement in his passing offense workload over last season's 67.7% rate.
The New York offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Tyler Conklin has been one of the top pass-game tight ends this year, averaging an outstanding 3.2 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 81st percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are projected by the predictive model to call just 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
This year, the strong Pittsburgh Steelers defense has yielded a measly 70.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 9th-best rate in the league.
As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's safety corps has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 5th-best in the NFL.
Projection For Tyler Conklin Receptions Prop Bet
Tyler Conklin is projected to have 2.3 Receptions in this weeks game.
