Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta Hawks

Feb 26, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction – 2/26/2025


The Atlanta Hawks (27-31) face off against the Miami Heat (26-30) in a pivotal matchup on February 26, 2025, at 7:30 PM ET. This clash between two divisional rivals carries extra significance, as both teams are looking to gain an edge in their competitive standings.

The Heat enter the game as slight favorites with a spread of Heat -2.5 and a moneyline of -140, giving them an implied win probability of 56%. Meanwhile, the Hawks, with a moneyline of +120, have an implied win probability of 44%. Both teams have been struggling recently, each losing 16 of their last 25 games. This context adds to the intensity of the rivalry, as both squads are desperate for a win to turn their seasons around.

In their last encounter, the Hawks emerged victorious, defeating the Heat 98-86. This recent victory could provide the Hawks with a psychological advantage, while the Heat will be eager to avenge that loss on their home court at Kaseya Center.

For those interested in player props, Trae Young's Points and Assists market has garnered attention, as it is the most popular betting option for this game. Sharp bettors are leaning towards the Under for Young, with the current line set at Under 37.5 Points and Assists (-110). Many believe this line is mispriced, suggesting it could present value for those looking to wager.


Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Atlanta Hawks 112.95 vs Miami Heat 123.33


Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

TeamImplied Win %:Projected Win %:
Hawks45%21%
Heat55%79%

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+3.0/-112
55% ATL
-3.0/-108
45% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+125
43% ATL
-149
57% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

229.5/-110
43% UN
229.5/-110
57% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

ATL
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
72
Games
72
43.1
FG
41.3
92.0
FGA
88.8
.469
FG%
.465
13.2
3Pt-FG
13.6
37.3
3Pt-FGA
38.0
.355
3Pt%
.359
29.9
2Pt-FG
27.7
54.7
2Pt-FGA
50.8
.546
2Pt%
.545
18.1
FT
14.0
23.4
FTA
17.9
.774
FT%
.782
12.0
ORB
10.9
32.6
DRB
34.0
44.6
TRB
44.9
29.4
AST
26.5
9.8
STL
7.6
5.3
BLK
4.7
15.6
TOV
13.7
19.0
PF
17.1
117.6
PTS
110.3

Defense/Offense

ATL
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
72
Games
72
43.6
FG
39.8
90.5
FGA
86.2
.481
FG%
.461
14.1
3Pt-FG
13.6
37.8
3Pt-FGA
37.5
.372
3Pt%
.362
29.5
2Pt-FG
26.2
52.7
2Pt-FGA
48.8
.560
2Pt%
.537
18.1
FT
16.2
22.5
FTA
20.4
.808
FT%
.792
10.4
ORB
9.4
33.6
DRB
33.5
44.0
TRB
42.9
28.4
AST
26.2
9.2
STL
7.9
5.0
BLK
3.8
16.2
TOV
13.9
19.3
PF
15.7
119.3
PTS
109.2

Offense/Defense

ATL
Four Factors
MIA
.541
eFG%
.542
13.3
TOV%
12.4
26.2
RB%
75.4
.197
FT/FGA
.157

Defense/Offense

ATL
Four Factors
MIA
.559
eFG%
.540
13.9
TOV%
12.7
75.9
RB%
21.6
.200
FT/FGA
.187

Offense/Defense

ATL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
72
Games
72
41.7
FG
42.5
88.9
FGA
91.3
.469
FG%
.465
12.8
3Pt-FG
14.0
36.0
3Pt-FGA
39.1
.355
3Pt%
.359
28.9
2Pt-FG
28.4
52.9
2Pt-FGA
52.2
.546
2Pt%
.545
17.5
FT
14.4
22.6
FTA
18.4
.774
FT%
.782
11.6
ORB
11.2
31.5
DRB
34.9
43.1
TRB
46.2
28.5
AST
27.2
9.5
STL
7.8
5.1
BLK
4.9
15.1
TOV
14.1
18.4
PF
17.6
113.7
PTS
113.3

Defense/Offense

ATL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
72
Games
72
42.1
FG
40.8
87.5
FGA
88.6
.481
FG%
.461
13.6
3Pt-FG
13.9
36.6
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.372
3Pt%
.362
28.5
2Pt-FG
26.9
50.9
2Pt-FGA
50.1
.560
2Pt%
.537
17.5
FT
16.6
21.7
FTA
21.0
.808
FT%
.792
10.0
ORB
9.6
32.5
DRB
34.4
42.5
TRB
44.0
27.4
AST
26.9
8.9
STL
8.2
4.8
BLK
3.9
15.7
TOV
14.3
18.7
PF
16.1
115.4
PTS
112.2

ATL
Analytics
MIA
32
Pythag Wins
34
40
Pythag Losses
38
-1.78
Margin Of Victory
-1.08
113.7
O Rtg
112.2
115.4
D Rtg
113.3
102.9
Pace
96.1
.254
FTr
.237
.405
3PAr
.435
.575
TS%
.574

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
ATL MIA
ATL MIA
Consensus
+1.0 (-109)
-1.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-109)
-3.0 (-112)
+1.0 (-112)
-1.0 (-108)
+3.0 (-112)
-3.0 (-108)
+1.5 (-108)
-1.5 (-110)
+3.0 (-108)
-3.0 (-112)
+1.5 (-109)
-1.5 (-109)
+3.0 (-109)
-3.0 (-112)
+1.0 (-105)
-1.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-105)
-3.0 (-115)
+1.5 (-102)
-1.5 (-105)
+2.5 (-102)
-2.5 (-118)
Open
Current
Book
ATL MIA
ATL MIA
Consensus
-110
-110
+125
-149
-110
-110
+130
-155
+106
-124
+132
-156
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-109)
229.5 (-111)
229.0 (-110)
229.0 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
228.0 (-110)
229.5 (-112)
229.5 (-108)
229.0 (-109)
229.0 (-112)
230.0 (-110)
230.0 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-105)
229.5 (-115)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)

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