Tyler Conklin NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Denver Broncos at New York Jets on Sep 29, 2024
Tyler Conklin Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 22.5 over: -130
- Receiving Yards 22.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
At the moment, the 4th-most pass-centric team in football (63.2% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Jets.
New York's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially reduced (and running stats inflated) on account of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to count on some correction with better weather in this game.
In this week's game, Tyler Conklin is expected by the predictive model to find himself in the 77th percentile when it comes to TEs with 3.8 targets.
Tyler Conklin rates as one of the best pass-catching tight ends since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 31.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 82nd percentile.
The Denver Broncos defense has surrendered the most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (60.0) to TEs since the start of last season.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
With a 6-point advantage, the Jets are favored in this game, implying more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by the predictive model to call just 62.3 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
In regards to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Jets ranks as the 2nd-worst in football since the start of last season.
The Broncos safeties rank as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.
Projection For Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Tyler Conklin is projected to have 26.6 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Tyler Conklin Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: -145
- Receptions 2.5 under: 110
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
At the moment, the 4th-most pass-centric team in football (63.2% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Jets.
New York's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially reduced (and running stats inflated) on account of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to count on some correction with better weather in this game.
In this week's game, Tyler Conklin is expected by the predictive model to find himself in the 77th percentile when it comes to TEs with 3.8 targets.
With a terrific 3.1 adjusted receptions per game (82nd percentile) since the start of last season, Tyler Conklin has been among the top pass-game TEs in the NFL.
Since the start of last season, the porous Denver Broncos pass defense has been gouged for a massive 79.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 2nd-biggest rate in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
With a 6-point advantage, the Jets are favored in this game, implying more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by the predictive model to call just 62.3 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
In regards to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Jets ranks as the 2nd-worst in football since the start of last season.
The Broncos safeties rank as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.
Projection For Tyler Conklin Receptions Prop Bet
Tyler Conklin is projected to have 2.7 Receptions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
